09/02/2026
Sixth rate decision of the year, and the Bank of Canada chose to wait it out again this morning. With tariff uncertainty on one side and inflation sitting at 3% on the other, holding at 2.25% was the expected move. Here is what it actually means, depending on where you sit.
Variable-rate holders: nothing changes today. Prime stays where it is, and so does your rate.
Fixed-rate shoppers: fixed mortgage rates are priced off the bond market, not directly off this announcement, so they move on expectations, often before the Bank does anything at all.
Renewing in the next year: this is who today matters for most. The big banks are genuinely split on what comes next. Most expect the rate to hold through year-end, while some forecast hikes before December. Nobody knows, and anyone claiming certainty is guessing confidently. What you can control: a rate hold, typically 90 to 120 days, locks in protection while you decide. If rates drop before you close, you can typically still benefit.
A hold is not a headline that changes your life. It is a reminder that your renewal strategy should never depend on predicting the next decision.
Renewing or buying this fall? DM us and we will run your numbers against what is actually available today.
Dominion Lending Centres North Power Mortgages
30 Saint Patrick Street, Unit 310
Toronto ON M5T 3A3
FSRA Lic #13625
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