03/13/2026
Justwealth February 2026 Market Commentary:
Positive momentum continued across the board (well, almost) in the month of February, as geopolitical disruption took a backseat to encouraging economic data. Benefitting from strong commodity prices, the Canadian benchmark stock index surged by 7.72%, followed closely by international stocks which were up 5.38%. The domestic bond index also rose by 1.66%, leaving U.S. stocks as the only major asset class in negative territory with a -0.05% drop.
Markets have effectively had a meteoric positive run for over 3 years, but apparently it does not take much to send investors into hyper-panic mode. Expressions of concern, uncertainty, and outright panic set in almost immediately after the United States engaged in an attack on Iran at the end of the month. Indeed, both equity and bond markets fell after news of the attack broke, with the impact on equities much more severe (as should be expected). It doesn’t seem to matter how many times we reiterate that “your investment strategy should not be based on the current state of markets”, many investors seem to develop amnesia the moment that the markets face some form of adversity.
Despite assurances from some high-powered (but highly unreliable) public figures, nobody knows how long this conflict will persist or what impact it might have on prices, economies, or stock markets. We do expect volatility in markets to remain elevated in the early days of events like this, which may keep investors on edge and things like the price of gasoline abnormally high. Like all market-disrupting events which have happened in the past however, we expect that this too will pass, and ultimately leave markets to return back to normal with no lasting impacts.
Volatility is a major consideration incorporated into the portfolio construction process. ALL of our portfolios factor in periods of positive and negative returns – so our views don’t change when negative periods materialize…it was expected, regardless of what reason caused it! It is important to remember that volatility does not present a problem for a sound investment strategy, investor emotion does.
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