10/31/2025
It's been a while since I've checked in, but I wanted to share a quick update for borrowers. I ran some numbers recently for a client, and it was a pretty typical scenario where a borrower took out a $350k mortgage in July 2023, when rates were at their peak, choosing the fixed-rate option may have seemed like the best choice back then, especially since the variable rate was actually higher than fixed offerings at the time (around 5.89% vs 6.30% for the variable). So, for those of you who followed my advice (I know it wasn’t easy at the time), I want to show you just how much the prime rate has fallen since then and how much you will now benefit from this strategy.
(keep in mind the variable product for purchases was Prime -.90% for most of 2023)
July 13, 2023: Prime 7.20%,
June 5, 2024: Prime 6.95%
July 24, 2024: Prime 6.70%
September 4, 2024: Prime 6.45%
October 22, 2024: Prime 5.95%
December 11, 2024: Prime 5.45%
January 29, 2025: Prime 5.20%,
March 12, 2025: Prime 4.95%
April 16, 2025: Prime 4.95%
September 17, 2025: Prime 4.70%
October 29, 2025: Prime 4.45%
These drops mean the prime rate has fallen by 2.75% from its peak in the last 17 months.
So, instead of being locked at 5.89% for the last 2.5 years, you followed the prime rate down to where it is today, which has already saved you about $8,000 over the fixed option. Your borrowing costs are now back in the 3.55% range. So, what does this mean for your payment? Well, it has dropped by approximately $400 per month from where it was in July 2023. Even if rates don’t drop further between now and your maturity date in 2028 (though they likely will), just staying at today's prime rate would save you an additional $10,000, bringing your total savings to $18,000 in after-tax dollars! If you’d have gone with conventional thinking back then, there would be no savings to be had, so I just wanted to say thank you again for your confidence and trust in me to help guide you through the ups and downs of mortgage lending.
To recap: The 'lowest' rate of the day back then would have cost a borrower in this situation $18,000 more than the best strategy would have. Which brings me to the questions borrowers really need to stop asking, which is: 'What’s the lowest rate available?' and start asking, 'What’s the best strategy to save me more over time?' There are far more borrowers who chose the 'cheapest' rate of the day and have missed out on significant savings than there are those who took advantage of the better strategy. I can’t think of any product or service where the 'cheapest' option is the best one. Until we start seeking real solutions instead of just focusing on three numbers and a decimal point, more people will end up paying that extra $18,000 (or more) to their lenders without even realizing they could have saved it. Borrowers beware on this spookiest of Fridays!