06/10/2026
Bank of Canada Update: No Change (For Now)
Groundbreaking news, everyone. The Bank of Canada has decided to... hold. Again. π
The overnight rate stays at 2.25%. Prime rate stays at 4.45%. No change to your variable mortgage or HELOC payments today.
So what's actually going on?
The Bank is stuck between two opposing forces right now:
The conflict in the Middle East is pushing oil prices up β which pushes inflation up. Canada's economy is soft β GDP actually dipped slightly in Q1, and the job market hasn't moved much since January.
Normally, a slow economy would call for rate cuts. But you can't cut when inflation is heading toward 3%. So the Bank is doing what any cold, unimpressed boss would do β holding firm and watching.
What this means for you:
If you're in a variable rate or have a HELOC β no change to your payments today.
If you're renewing soon β this is still a good time to review your options. Rates are relatively stable, but the Bank has signalled that a hike is possible later this year if energy prices keep pushing inflation up.
If you're buying this year β get your pre-approval sorted now. Don't wait for the "perfect rate." It may not come.
Fixed rates are driven by bond markets, not the Bank of Canada β so keep an eye on the Canada 5-year bond if you want to know where fixed rates are heading.
Next announcement: July 15, 2026.
Want to know what today's decision means for your specific situation? I'm happy to walk through your options β no pressure, just clarity.
π© [email protected]
π www.mortgagebyreferrals.com/bank-of-canada-holds-rate-at-2-25-june-10-2026