09/03/2024
Monthly Newsletter Summary:
Bank of Canada Rate Cuts: Initial cuts this summer didn't spur housing activity as expected, but more cuts could change the outlook.
New Listings Expected to Rise: Sellers may enter the market, hoping lower mortgage rates attract buyers.
Current Rates and Affordability: With the rate at 4.5%, home affordability remains a concern, but falling rates provide hope for potential buyers.
Market Dynamics: Home prices remain high, discouraging first-time buyers, while higher taxes and stress-test rates complicate the Fall market.
New Canadians Impact: A 46% influx of new Canadians in 2023 adds to housing demand.
Future Predictions: Rates are expected to continue falling, leading to increased housing activity by late this year.
Ongoing Homebuilding Resilience: Despite a soft resale market, homebuilding remains strong, particularly in multi-unit construction, but faces capacity pressures.
Labour Market Changes: Job vacancies are dropping, and unemployment is rising, especially among young workers.
Economic Outlook: Economic growth has slowed to around 1%, but inflation is easing without a recession.
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