09/02/2026
BREAKING: The Bank of Canada has decided to not change its key (overnight) interest rate due to current economic factors!
This was the 6th of 8 scheduled meetings in 2026 and the 6th consecutive overnight rate hold in 2026 by the Bank of Canada 📉
Forecasts from the country’s Big Six banks now largely align on the Bank of Canada holding its policy rate at 2.25% through 2026, but diverge sharply in 2027.
Scotiabank, National Bank, RBC and CIBC now expect the Bank of Canada’s next move to be a rate increase, though their timelines differ. Scotiabank anticipates the earliest move, forecasting an increase to 2.75% in Q4 2026 and 3.00% in early 2027. National Bank expects the rate to reach 2.50% in Q1 2027 and 2.75% the following quarter, while CIBC forecasts increases beginning in Q2 2027, reaching 2.75% by Q3. RBC sees the steepest tightening cycle, with the rate rising to 2.50% in Q1 2027 and reaching 3.25% by the end of that year.
By contrast, TD and BMO expect the policy rate to remain at 2.25% through the end of 2027, implying an extended period of stability.
Swipe for more information on the next meeting dates by the Bank of Canada and how this current decision may impact you 👉