06/26/2026
Ask someone their risk tolerance and you get a sentence. Watch what they do in a drawdown and you get the truth.
Step five of the Personal Economic Values framework, from Unbiased Investor, is the honest reconciliation of those two numbers. The said tolerance — moderate, balanced, aggressive — almost never matches the revealed tolerance, which is whatever the investor actually did the last time the portfolio dropped fifteen percent.
The gap matters. Asset mixes and decumulation projections get built on the said number. The portfolio sized for balanced is being run by a brain wired for conservative.
The useful diagnostic is the most recent drawdown. What did you do in March 2020? In 2022? The version your transaction history shows, not the version polished for a meeting.
Looking at the most recent drawdown you lived through, what did you actually do — and does the asset mix in your current plan assume you'd do the same thing again?
— Coreen Sol, CFA