09/03/2026
π The Bank of Canada held at 2.25% yesterday, the eighth consecutive hold.
That is the headline. Here is the full picture.
National Bank and Scotiabank are now forecasting a hike to 2.50% in October and 2.75% by December. Why? CPI hit 3% in July. US tariffs are adding $15,000 to $25,000 per new home built in Ontario. And the 5-year Government of Canada bond is already trading between 3.18% and 3.25%.
Fixed rates do not wait for the BoC announcement. They move on bond yields. They are moving now.
If you have a renewal in the next six months, a purchase underway, or you are simply trying to understand what October means for your file, this is the conversation to have today, not after the announcement.
No pressure. Just good advice.
π (902) 209-4518 | www.craigspicer.com