04/17/2026
What a difference a few hours can make.
Since 8:00 a.m. ET, oil has completely reversed course.
Iran confirmed the Strait of Hormuz is fully open to shipping, and that was all the market needed.
WTI crude has broken well below the key 50% retracement from March, signaling growing confidence in a near-term resolution.
Nothing’s ever guaranteed in these markets… but for now, this is positive news for rates heading into the weekend.
Canada’s 5-year yield is already down ~6 bps, and expectations have shifted fast — the market is now pricing in less than one BoC hike by December.
Just four weeks ago? We had economists looking at 2-3 hikes.
Momentum can change quickly. Stay positioned.
If you’ve got a renewal coming up this summer, or you’re thinking about buying, it’s worth looking at a 120-day rate hold to protect yourself from market volatility.
In today’s environment, it’s not about chasing the bottom — it’s about having a strategy.
Whether you’re planning 2, 3, or 4 years out, the goal is simple: build a plan around a comfortable budget so you can move forward with confidence, and sleep at night.