11/02/2020
Latin America In 2020: Low Growth, Low Interest Rates, High Risk
We expect 2020 to be another year of low growth for Latin America as many economies experience some of their lowest growth rates since the global financial crisis. We see the region growing less than 2% for a seventh consecutive year.
The main reason is the underwhelming levels of investment--in most cases, weak investment is due to uncertain domestic political dynamics.
We've lowered our 2020 GDP growth projections for Mexico (to 1.0%), Chile (to 2.4%), and Peru (to 2.8%), and we continue to expect the Brazilian economy to improve in 2020, with GDP growth of 2%, up from 0.8% in 2019, bolstered by the impact the recent reform push will have on investment.
February 11, 2020
WA