15/03/2023
Gloomy news is, for me, the fodder which makes me more determined than ever before to get ahead and prove the sceptics wrong! Warren Buffet said that ‘Most people get interested in investing when everyone else is. The time to get interested is when no one else is. You can't buy what is popular and do well’
When everyone is buying, all seems well. Our decisions to do so are confirmed as being right because we are all talking about it. The past few years have provided such a period of buoyancy and good fortune for most Australians that pretty much anything you bought as an investment did well. This made us all forget about the basics, especially where property is concerned – the basics being that the importance is not just about market timing, it is also about time in market.
The doom and gloom at the moment is that property prices are about to experience a spectacular fall. While I agree that overheated areas and high end property will indeed feel the impact, as overcommitted property owners who tried to climb the social ladder while the going was good, buying property they couldn’t really afford, need to divest themselves of these costly assets, I am also of the firm belief that bread and butter property in lower priced areas will in many ways survive the storm and retain, and even grow, their values.
The value of property in the coming two to three years doesn’t matter. Since you should only ever buy property with a view to holding it for 10 years, what you should be concerned about now is getting property which will pay for its own expenses through a good yield. Then, after 10 years it is most likely going to be that the property will have grown from its original price, even if it fell a little in the meantime.
And let’s not forget that, as we near the bottom of the market, fewer people will buy and more opportunities exist. Watch your own bottom line, be sure that you can afford interest rate swings and plan, and then implement, a solid personal budget. Then wait, and let time do its work, just like we always used to do in the past.