16/09/2026
High-End Homes Lead the Downturn as Affordable Property Holds Up Better
Australia’s property market is showing a growing divide, with higher-priced homes recording the largest falls while more affordable properties and units are proving considerably more resilient.
According to Cotality’s September 2026 Housing Chart Pack, premium homes in Sydney and Melbourne have been hit hardest. Upper-quartile house values are now 10.7% below their peak in Sydney and 10.5% lower in Melbourne.
The trend highlights how affordability is increasingly influencing buyer behaviour. With borrowing capacity under pressure and household budgets stretched, demand is being concentrated further down the price scale.
Units have generally performed better than detached houses during the downturn. Their lower entry price continues to attract buyers who may have previously considered houses but are now adjusting expectations to stay within their borrowing capacity.
The market is also becoming more favourable for buyers.
Across Australia, dwelling values fell 3.1% over the three months to August, while annual growth slowed to 2.7%.
Properties are also taking longer to sell, with the median time on market increasing to 39 days compared with 28 days a year ago. Capital-city vendor discounts have widened to 4.2%, while the number of properties available for sale has climbed more than 18% compared with this time last year.
Auction conditions have softened as well, with the four-week average clearance rate sitting below 50% at the end of August.
What does this mean for sellers and agents?
The headline numbers don't tell the whole story.
Performance is increasingly dependent on price point, property type and location. Premium property owners may need to be more realistic about pricing, while correctly priced homes in affordable market segments can still attract strong buyer competition.
For agents, this is a market where accurate pricing and managing vendor expectations will be critical. Buyers have more choice and are becoming increasingly price-sensitive, which means simply relying on previous market highs is unlikely to produce the best result.
The Australian property market hasn't stopped — it's becoming more selective.
Source/Credit: Cotality – September 2026 Housing Chart Pack