09/06/2026
NAB: Rate Cuts Could Start in 2027
Good news for borrowers.
NAB believes the RBA has finished raising interest rates. The bank has removed its forecast for another rate hike and now expects the cash rate to stay at 4.35% before cuts begin in 2027.
Why? Australia’s economy is slowing down. Economic growth is weakening, and business activity is easing, suggesting growth may have already peaked.
However, don’t expect rate cuts anytime soon could be HOLD. Inflation is still expected to stay above the RBA’s target range of 2–3% until mid-2027, meaning the RBA is likely to remain cautious.
NAB Chief Economist Sally Auld said:
“We are more confident that the next move in rates will be down, but less certain about when it will happen.”
If NAB’s forecast is correct, the cash rate could fall to around 3.6% by the end of 2027.