31/08/2026
Melbourne house prices fell 3.1% last quarter whilst the broader Victoria grew 8.0%.
That gap tells you something important about where the market is right now.
Ballarat is up 14.3%. Bendigo 12%. Geelong 7.2%. These are the real numbers and they are happening while the headlines say Victoria is struggling.
Affordability is the main driver of this discrepancy. Melbourne's median house price is $936,000 whereas Ballarat’s is $650,000, Bendigo $680,000 and Geelong’s is $770,000. The lower entry price requires a lower deposit, which means buyers who are priced out of Melbourne they can still buy in Victoria.
The national numbers show the same pattern. Prices fell 0.7% in July. But over the last three months the most expensive homes dropped 3.2% while the most affordable homes rose 0.3%.
Rental yields are also a large part of this phenomenon with more regional locations performing better, for example Ballarat with a 4.2% yield versus Melbourne's with 3.3%, where investors can get a higher income on a cheaper asset.
The affordable part of the market is where the growth is right now so if you want to know what you can borrow and where that allows you to buy, contact us at 0410 512 254 or [email protected].