27/10/2026
Three in four buyers surveyed by Westpac are waiting
for prices to fall.
Nearly as many want rates to settle first.
75% of buyers surveyed in Westpac's Home Ownership Report are holding off until prices fall further. 73% are waiting for rates to settle. 41% say it's a bad time for first home buyers. (The Adviser, 19 October 2026)
Equifax's September data shows demand pulling back. NSW mortgage demand is down 21.2% year on year. Nationally, first home buyer demand is down 22.1%, investor demand is down 18%, and same-lender refinancing is down 28%. (The Adviser, 15 October 2026)
The tension: the same rate rises that put pressure on prices also shrink what a buyer can borrow. Lower prices and settled rates don't have to arrive together.
First home buyers show it. Primara found the average first home buyer loan reached $610,063 in June, up $49,800 since the 5% Deposit Scheme expansion, while four rate rises have absorbed over a third of the scheme's upfront benefit. (The Adviser, 19 October 2026)
The deposit hurdle is lower. Serviceability is increasingly the constraint. For a first home buyer, waiting can mean a lower price, a smaller borrowing capacity, or both.
So the useful answer to "should we wait?" is usually a comparison of what changes in the client's own numbers, not a call on the market.
Clients who are holding off: are they waiting on price, or waiting on rates?
Fellow brokers, it’s not always about the lowest price, but the right time to enter. Read the client’s circumstances and guide accordingly.