03/11/2026
Five rate rises in 2026, and the impact isn't just higher mortgage repayments. Buyers can now borrow less too.
The RBA has lifted the cash rate another 0.25% to 4.85%, taking this year's increases to 1.25%.
Why another rise?
• Inflation remains too high and persistent
• Headline inflation is 4.3%, with underlying inflation at 3.6%
• Housing, energy and other cost pressures remain elevated
• Businesses continue to report rising costs and price pressures
What does this mean for households?
• For someone with a $750,000 mortgage, the 1.25% increase equates to around $781 per month, or $9,375 per year, in additional interest cost if fully passed through.
• For buyers, higher assessment rates mean lower borrowing capacity. Someone who could previously borrow around $750,000 could potentially have lost around $90,000 to $110,000 in borrowing power, depending on their circumstances and lender.
And this raises a bigger question.
The RBA is using higher rates to reduce demand and household spending. But when government spending continues to support demand elsewhere in the economy, how much longer should mortgage holders and businesses be expected to do the heavy lifting on inflation?
I expect rates to remain on hold at 4.85% for an extended period, but if inflation doesn't moderate, the risk of further tightening in 2027 remains.
For borrowers and buyers, it's no longer just about the interest rate. It's about cash flow, borrowing capacity and what you can actually afford.