15/06/2026
The market has changed — but that doesn’t mean your opportunity is gone.
Rates have risen three times in 2026. The federal budget rewrote the rules for investors. And everyone is asking the same question: is it time to buy or wait?
At Capta, our answer has always been the same: it depends on your moment, not the market.
Commonwealth Bank revised its national price growth forecast from 8% down to 5%. A real slowdown — but no expert is forecasting drops of 10, 15 or 20%. The market keeps moving. Properties keep selling.
In Sydney and Melbourne, single-digit price drops are expected — somewhere between 3% and 8% depending on the area. For buyers with their documents in order and a deposit ready, this is exactly the window to move. Less competition. More time to decide. More flexible vendors.
Queensland tells a different story. Brisbane, Gold Coast and Sunshine Coast still have significant infrastructure investment ahead. KPMG forecasts +10% growth for FY2026 and +8% for FY2027 — and the 2032 Olympics haven’t even arrived yet.
At Capta, we’ve said for years that the right time to buy is when three pillars align:
✅ You can service the loan
✅ You have the deposit ready
✅ There’s a property that fits your budget
When all three line up — that’s your moment.
And here’s something most people aren’t paying attention to: 70% of permanent residency places in this budget will go to people already living in Australia. A new PR naturally leads to the next step — and for most people, that next step is buying their first property.
Those who understand this cycle and act early come out ahead.
Want to know if this is your moment? Book a free meeting with one of our brokers today.