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09/09/2026

US yields up, dollar down? The reason yields rise matters.

Here’s how this week’s bond auctions could pressure USDJPY under two different scenarios, and why the first move needs confirmation.

EUR/NZD recently pushed into the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement near 1.9935 but was firmly rejected, highlighting strong se...
08/09/2026

EUR/NZD recently pushed into the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement near 1.9935 but was firmly rejected, highlighting strong selling pressure at that level.

Price has since fallen back toward the 38.2% retracement around 1.9747. Holding above this area could support another recovery attempt, while a break lower would increase the risk of a deeper move back toward 1.9440 support.

US inflation takes centre stage this week.After Friday’s strong NFP print failed to produce a lasting move higher in the...
07/09/2026

US inflation takes centre stage this week.

After Friday’s strong NFP print failed to produce a lasting move higher in the dollar, the focus now shifts firmly back to CPI.

A hot core print could push markets towards fully pricing in a September Fed hike, while a softer result could pressure the dollar and yields, keeping USDJPY downside and gold upside in focus.

Treasury auctions and the ECB decision also deserve attention, but inflation remains the key driver.

GBP/USD has rejected the 1.3650 resistance zone and is now undergoing a corrective pullback.Despite the recent weakness,...
06/09/2026

GBP/USD has rejected the 1.3650 resistance zone and is now undergoing a corrective pullback.

Despite the recent weakness, the broader structure remains constructive while price holds above the rising trendline.

A bullish reaction from trendline support could trigger another attempt at 1.3650, while a decisive break lower would expose the key 1.3160 support area.

USD/JPY has sold off sharply into a well-established support zone around 155.30–155.80, an area that has previously attr...
04/09/2026

USD/JPY has sold off sharply into a well-established support zone around 155.30–155.80, an area that has previously attracted strong buying interest.

This makes the current level a key decision point. A bullish reaction could trigger another recovery, while a decisive daily close below support would signal further weakness and open the door to a deeper move lower.

After hot CPI data for Australia last week, the AUDNZD broke above the descending trendline, strengthening the short-ter...
02/09/2026

After hot CPI data for Australia last week, the AUDNZD broke above the descending trendline, strengthening the short-term bullish outlook after a period of compression.

Today price managed to breakout of prior resistance at 1.2200 following a dovish rate decision by the RBNZ.

Price is now holding above former resistance, which may act as support on a retest.

Alternatively, buyers could look for breakout and retest opportunities if price manages to break and stay above major resistance at 1.2280.

EUR/CAD is showing signs of weakening bullish structure following a double top and successive lower highs.Price is now d...
01/09/2026

EUR/CAD is showing signs of weakening bullish structure following a double top and successive lower highs.

Price is now drifting back toward the rising support trendline, making this a key decision area.

A decisive daily close below support would strengthen the bearish case and expose 1.6000, while holding the trendline could delay further downside.

A big week ahead for AUD, NZD and USD traders.Australia GDP and the RBNZ decision land on Wednesday, before attention tu...
01/09/2026

A big week ahead for AUD, NZD and USD traders.

Australia GDP and the RBNZ decision land on Wednesday, before attention turns to US NFP on Friday.

For Australia, GDP is unlikely to carry the same weight as last week’s CPI, but a strong upside surprise could add to expectations for a September RBA hike.

For New Zealand, the rate hike itself is already priced in, so the bigger question is how hawkish the RBNZ sounds about the path ahead.

Then we finish with NFP, where a big surprise could tip the balance for the Fed and create another important move in the dollar, yields and gold.

GBP/AUD has broken decisively below the 1.9000 support zone, shifting short-term structure in favour of sellers. The bre...
31/08/2026

GBP/AUD has broken decisively below the 1.9000 support zone, shifting short-term structure in favour of sellers. The breakdown suggests previous support may now act as resistance on any corrective retest.

If price remains below 1.9000, downside pressure could extend toward the lower support area around 1.8810. A sustained reclaim above the broken zone would weaken the bearish outlook.

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