09/08/2026
Buying your first home is a huge milestone—and it’s normal to feel nervous when you hear news about falling property prices. Recently, the Australian Financial Review reported that the top end of the market is seeing the biggest price drops, especially in prestige suburbs (AFR 2026). That can sound alarming, but it’s important to understand what’s really happening at the entry level of the market.
Here’s a simple breakdown to help you feel confident and informed.
What is negative equity?
Negative equity happens when your home is worth less than the amount you still owe on your loan.
For example:
If your loan is $500,000 and your home is valued at $480,000, you have $20,000 of negative equity.
It doesn’t mean you’ve done anything wrong—and it only becomes a problem if you need to sell or refinance.
Are first home buyers actually at risk?
The short answer: Only in certain situations.
The biggest price drops are happening in luxury homes, not affordable suburbs. Entry‑level properties continue to hold their value better because:
More people are competing for affordable homes
Rental demand is strong
Government schemes are supporting first home buyers
Migration is keeping pressure on lower‑priced markets
This means most first home buyers—especially in South Australia and the Northern Territory—are not seeing the same price declines as prestige suburbs.
What about the 5% deposit scheme?
The expanded 5% deposit scheme allows buyers to enter the market with a smaller deposit and higher price caps. This is great for getting into your first home sooner, but it does mean:
You start with less equity
You’re more sensitive to short-term price movements
Buying at the very top of the price cap can increase your risk
Some buyers in Sydney and Melbourne who purchased at the maximum price caps are seeing early signs of negative equity, especially with rising interest rates. But this is not happening across the country.
In Adelaide, regional SA, NT, Perth and Brisbane, price movements have been much steadier.
How do you protect yourself from negative equity?
Here are simple, practical steps:
1. Buy below the scheme’s maximum price cap
This gives you a buffer if prices move slightly.
2. Choose suburbs with strong rental demand
High demand helps support property values.
3. Plan to hold your home long-term
Short-term price dips usually recover over time.
4. Build a small savings buffer
This helps you stay comfortable if interest rates change.
5. Get personalised guidance before you buy
A broker can help you compare lenders, understand repayments, and choose a safe borrowing level.
The bottom line
Most first home buyers are not at high risk of negative equity—especially in affordable markets like SA and NT. The biggest price drops are happening in prestige suburbs, not entry-level homes (AFR 2026).
If you buy sensibly, avoid stretching to the top of the price cap, and get the right advice, entering the market today can still be a safe and smart move.