15/01/2025
Rate Cuts will be happening this year, ANZ has brought its forecast forward to Feb.
ANZ has adjusted its cash rate forecasts, saying that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will likely cut the cash rate by 25 bps at its February meeting (set for 17–18 February).
This would take the cash rate to 4.10 per cent.
While ANZ had previously moved its prediction of the first cash rate reduction from February to May 2025 (due to stronger-than-expected employment group, good business conditions, and growing consumer confidence), it has now reverted back to a February cut.
It now thinks there will be two 25-bp cuts in this cycle, in February and August 2025, taking the cash rate to 3.85 per cent.
The change in forecast has come following the publication of November 2024 inflation figures, which showed that inflation was lower than they had expected, resulting in updates to ANZ’s December forecasts. New dwelling price growth has also been falling.
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