08/04/2026
What’s the outlook for Australian interest rates over the next 3 months?
At the moment, the RBA cash rate is 4.10%, and while inflation has eased from its peak, it’s still sitting above the RBA’s target range. The job market has also stayed relatively resilient, which means the Reserve Bank is likely to remain cautious in the near term.
So, what does that mean for borrowers?
Over the next 3 months, the most likely outcome looks to be either rates holding steady or the chance of one more increase if inflation proves stubborn. A quick drop in rates still looks unlikely for now.
Global events are also playing a part. Ongoing conflict overseas, oil price pressure, and a cautious approach from major central banks are all factors that could keep inflation higher for longer.
For homeowners, buyers and refinancers, the key message is to plan for rates to stay higher a little longer than many had hoped.
If you’d like to understand what this could mean for your loan options, feel free to reach out.
General information only, not personal financial advice.