13/05/2026
The investor lending market in Australia is changing, but it is certainly not disappearing. If you look at the budget without эмоции and through a practical lens, the picture is quite rational, even if slightly more complex than before.
Let’s start with the key changes. The most significant shift relates to negative gearing and capital gains tax. From 1 July 2027, negative gearing is effectively being redirected toward new builds. Existing arrangements remain unchanged for properties already held, but investors purchasing established properties after the budget will no longer be able to offset losses against their personal income, such as wages. Losses can only be applied against rental income and carried forward.
Now to CGT. The current 50 percent discount will be replaced with an inflation-based model, along with a minimum 30 percent tax on gains. These changes apply only to future gains, while investors in new builds will be able to choose between the existing system and the new one. On paper, this creates flexibility. In reality, it adds another layer of decision-making.
If you expect this to push investors out of the market entirely, it will not. What changes is the type of investor. Those relying purely on tax benefits may step back. Those focused on yield, capital structure, and long-term strategy will remain active.
New builds, on the other hand, are clearly being supported. And this is where things become more relevant for buyers. The conversation is no longer about simply “getting into the market.” It is about specifics. House and land packages, off-the-plan purchases, construction timelines, valuation risks, contract conditions including sunset clauses. These are no longer secondary details, they are central to the decision.
The transition period leading up to 1 July 2027 creates a window of opportunity. Some buyers may move sooner to take advantage of the current rules. Others may reassess, restructure, or wait. The market during this period becomes more dynamic, but also less forgiving of poor planning.
Now consider this from your position as a buyer. Are you planning to enter the market before 2027, or are you comfortable operating under the new tax settings? How important is the ability to offset losses against your income, and are you relying on that, or are you selecting a property based on its actual cash flow?
First-home buyers may find a slightly clearer path, particularly if investor demand softens in the established market. But this does not make the process simple. Understanding borrowing capacity, deposit strategies, guarantor options, HECS/HELP implications, and lender policies becomes essential.
The question is no longer whether you can get a loan. The real question is how prepared you are for the purchase. Do you have a full financial picture that includes all ongoing costs, or are you focused only on the purchase price? Have you compared new builds and established properties not just on price, but on long-term financial impact, including tax and maintenance?
Infrastructure is another factor that should not be overlooked. The government has allocated $2 billion toward local infrastructure, aiming to support tens of thousands of new homes. This will drive growth in specific areas and create new entry points into the market.
So the question becomes straightforward. Are you buying in an area because it has already grown, or because you understand what will drive its growth over the next five to ten years?
As for cost of living relief, there are minor tax benefits, but they do not change the overall equation. Mortgage repayments, rent, insurance, utilities, and daily expenses remain the dominant factors. Serviceability is still at the center of every lending decision.
How resilient is your budget if interest rates or living costs increase? Do you have a financial buffer, or are you stretching to enter the market with minimal margin for error?
Small business support measures may also have an indirect impact. Greater confidence among business owners can translate into more activity in both residential purchases and investment. However, this brings another consideration. Is your income stable and predictable, or does it fluctuate based on external factors?
If you reduce all of this to one idea, the market is not becoming easier. It is becoming more deliberate.
Buying property today is no longer an impulsive decision or a simple bet on growth. It is a structured financial decision that requires clarity, planning, and a long-term view.
Which leads to a more important question. Are you buying because you feel you need to enter the market now, or because the property genuinely aligns with your long-term financial strategy?