01/10/2026
Higher interest rates mean different things depending on where you’re at.
If you’re paying off a loan, they put more pressure on your cash flow. If you’re drawing an income from savings, higher rates can help. And if you’re investing, they change borrowing costs and the return you should expect from the money you commit.
Does that mean buying bonds at these higher rates? My view is no—for now. With governments continuing to borrow and spend, my concern is the seemingly unlimited supply of government debt and the lack of fiscal discipline. A higher yield alone doesn’t make an investment attractive. Put a 6 or 7 in front of that yield, however, and I’d reassess whether the return adequately compensates for the risk.
My preference is quality credit: lending to businesses with strong balance sheets, reliable cash flow and the capacity to repay their debt. Boards and CEOs need to understand their numbers and manage within them. The opportunity lies in skilled fund managers selecting the strongest borrowers, negotiating appropriate terms and securing a return that justifies the risk.
That’s why I look beyond an investment’s headline return. What does it cost to hold? How much debt sits behind it? Can it provide the income you need, when you need it?
There’s plenty happening in AI, infrastructure and global markets. The opportunity still needs to make sense at the price you pay.
For anyone who hasn’t started planning, waiting for everything to improve can leave you with less time to prepare. Start by understanding where you stand and which decisions need attention.
My September market update is out today, with more on these themes and my investment outlook.
Market OverviewSeptember produced mixed equity-market returns. The S&P 500 declined 0.20% and the ASX 200 fell 2.42%, while the Nasdaq gained 2.45% and Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 3.77%. The Dow Jones fell 4.06% and the Russell 2000 declined 5.29%. The contrast between markets reinforces the value of ...