Craig Kadel Finance

08/10/2026

9/10/26

National Australia Bank predicts an 8 per cent decline in capital-city dwelling prices over 2026 with prices now expected to fall around 11 per cent from peak to trough before finding a floor in the second quarter of 2027.

The revised forecast comes following four rate hikes so far this year and a federal budget that overhauled investor tax settings such as capital gains tax and negative gearing.

Sydney tipped for biggest decline, forecasting a fall of around 14%.

Melbourne, Brisbane, and Perth are each forecast to record declines of around 11 per cent from peak to trough, while Adelaide is expected to fall 8.5 per cent.

The bank said Brisbane prices are already 5.4 per cent below their recent peak, while Perth has fallen 6 per cent and Adelaide 2.9 per cent.

CBA predicts 9% decline

09/09/2026

WESTPAC “forecasting HOUSE PRICES will RISE 3% in 2027 and 8%in 2028,
because what cannot be ignored is that the demand is very much larger than the supply side, and so without trying to belittle the entire debate, basics don’t change,” Miller said.
Note this is Australia wide forecast.

The housing shortage will cause property prices to start rising again, wiping out the impact of the May budget, says Westpac CEO Anthony Miller.

15/07/2026

RENT...Up 7.7% in Brisbane in last 12 months, and the same across combined capitals.

19/06/2026

Thanks Ken Sloane and People First Bank/Heritage Bank for a great evening at the Mortgage and Finance association awards.

01/06/2026

Brisbane
-up .9% in May,
-up 19.1% last 12 months.
Sydney and Melbourne down.

19/05/2026

"Up like a rocket, down like a feather"

"A prolonged Middle East conflict could push Australia into recession, with higher inflation and interest rates hitting housing hard. Sales volumes fall first, prices soften next, but new supply collapses, setting up an even tighter housing market and a return to price growth once conditions stabilise."

Higher interest rates, lower confidence, fewer transactions and a bigger shortage waiting on the other side

08/05/2026

If you’ve been chipping away at your mortgage for a while, there’s a good chance you’re sitting on a decent chunk of home equity. And for most people, it feels like progress – but this can also come with a hidden cost.

23/04/2026

Buying an investment property. The Numbers.

A million dollar investment property sounds expensive to run. And with mortgage interest rates sitting around 6.5 per cent, the holding costs aren’t small. But when most people try to work out what an investment property actually costs, they often only get half of the picture.

20/04/2026

Rental growth reaccelerates as cost to tenants reaches record high.
Supply deficit underpins market tightness

Every capital city recorded a vacancy rate below 2.0% in the March quarter
When vacancy rates fall to 1.5% or less it leaves renters with very little negotiating power and fewer options. It means renters have to consider alternate options such as share houses, moving to a new area or back in with families.
Brisbane each recording growth of 6.7% over year to 3.26.

While rental affordability, measured as the share of income committed to rent, is at its most stretched level on record, market conditions mean there is unlikely to be any material easing without a significant increase in rental housing supply.

Rental growth reaccelerates as cost to tenants reaches record high | Cotality

20/04/2026

Gold Coast is currently welcoming 400 new residents every week -tipped to reach a population of 1 million by 2040.

Forecast fastest-growing economy in Australia over the next four years, 10.07 per cent growth compared to the national average of 7.91 per cent.

Add to that a staggering $60b pipeline of job-creating infrastructure and development already underway or proposed, plus an expected $2b economic boost specifically from the 2032 Games.
The report pinpointed a “golden cluster” of suburbs including Southport, Labrador, Benowa, Ashmore, Molendinar, and Arundel.
In Arundel, a massive 73 per cent of unit sales over the 12 months to January 2026 went for above the asking price.

Ashmore wasn’t far behind with 62 per cent of units selling at a premium, followed by Labrador at 59 per cent.
These postcodes were all set to reap the biggest rewards from Olympic infrastructure like the Southport Arena, the Benowa Athlete Village, and the Labrador Hockey Centre.

While Olympic athletes won’t arrive until 2032, Gold Coast house prices have already sprinted past $1 million as the property market goes for gold.