WinaiTrade, دبي, Hatta (2026)

21/11/2023

Market Update - November 21st - FED will stay on hold; Dot Plot, Statement are key

🇨🇳PBoC leaves rates unchanged, says has ample policy room as analysts bet on future rate cuts
🇯🇵 Japanese Trade Deficit falls by 2/3 y/y as Imports tumble (-17.8%)
🇺🇸Yields on 2Y, 5Y, 10Y US push to new multi-year highs hours before September Fed meeting
💲USD recovered earlier losses (USDIndex -0.4% intraday) to end day flat. EUR back below 1.07, Cable back south of 1.24
📉 Stocks, indices fell led by US30
🛢OIL finally pulling back (Crude -1.08% now) after UKOil traded as high as $95.92 yesterday
🧈XAU cannot breach 200d MA, $1930 now
🏦Tonight FED will stay on hold (99% odds) but Dot Plot, Quarterly Economic Update will be key

🔜LATER TODAY: DE PPI, US Mortgage applications, EIA Oil Stocks Change, FED INTEREST RATE DECISION, FOMC PRESS CONFERENCE

👉INTERESTING MOVER: USOil -1.07% @ $90.50, perfectly pulled back after reaching key resistance level at $92.20

15/11/2023

Technicals & FOMO adding to the moves

🇺🇸US House voted for a short term funding bill, averting shutdown
🇬🇧UK: CPI fell to 4.6% y/y from 6.7%, lowest since Oct 2021. Output & input prices are rising again, remaining high for the BoE's liking
🇨🇳China: Mixed data reflected ongoing weak activity. Residential property sales fell, new property construction & Fixed asset investment were down
🏦 PBoC left 1-yr median lending rate unchanged offering $200 bln to counter weakness from property sector
🌍 EURUSD soared to 1.088, best since Aug. USDJPY slumped to 150.25. It's been above 150.00 since Nov 6, possibly holding as BoJ shows little inclination to normalize policy this year
📈 Stocks surged with US100 jumping 2.37%, US500 climbing 1.9, and US30 surging 1.43%. Every S&P sector closed in the green
⛽️ USoil steadied, Gold edged higher to $1971

🔜 TODAY: US Retail Sales & PPI

14/11/2023

Market Update - Wait & See Stance!

📈 GBPUSD spiked to 1.2287 - GBP responded strongly post impressive UK jobs data - employment rose (+54K) and wage growth eased
💲USDJPY - 151.60 - Yen traders brace for risk of deeper drop in US Inflation - 33-year high?
📊 Yen’s quick recovery from 151.91 probably reflected options market positioning
📉 Stocks have recovered from opening losses, with small gains registered on US500 & US30. The former broke a 4-mth down channel to the upside
🌏 Asian & EU equities crept higher - GER40 +0.14%, JPN225 +0.34%
🛢 USOIL picks up to 78.35 post OPEC stating demand is robust, and “overblown negative sentiment.” The American Automobile Association said US Thanksgiving travel period will be busiest since 2019
🧈Gold steady at 1945.
📉 US CPI preview: Headline inflation fell to 3.3% in October, down from 3.7% in September

🔜 TODAY: German ZEW, IEA report, US CPI. Earnings: Home Depot today, Cisco Systems, Target on Wednesday, Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) & Walmart on Thursday.

13/11/2023

Market Update - November 13 - Pivotal week ahead

🌎Asian stock markets traded mixed overnight. Wall Street closed with a strong rally last week, but sentiment was mixed as investors await key US inflation numbers
💲USDIndex held at 2-day bottom, at 105.60
📈USDJPY: Hit new 1yr high, at 151.80 amid wider Yen weakness
🇯🇵Japanese wholesale inflation slowed below 1% for first time in just over 2.5 years in October
🛢Oil gapped down on open, but holds above $76. Any further renewed concerns over waning demand in US and China could dent market sentiment
🧈Gold remains below $1,950 but seeing positive start to week as investors react to Moody's negative outlook on US debt but also as focus turns on US inflation
Palladium hovering near 5yr lows

👉Interesting Mover: CADJPY - Rising Wedge identified. This pattern is still in the process of forming. Possible bullish price movement towards 110.5324 resistance within next 3 days. Supported by Upward sloping Moving Average

10/11/2023

Market Update - November 10 - Multi-day Win Streak Came To An End

🏦Wall Street's multi-day win streak came to an abrupt end Thursday after one of the worst bond auctions on record sparked a sharp Treasuries selloff, led by the long end, and reignited concerns over US debt buyers
🇬🇧UK: GDP stagnated in Q3
🏦Fed: Powell stressed FOMC will not hesitate to tighten rates further if appropriate
💲USDIndex stabilised and nudged up to 105.70 as Treasury yields move higher
🇯🇵USDJPY has continued to move higher. Currently at 151.35 as markets test intervention threats
🛢Oil slightly higher to 76 but headed for 3rd weekly drop
🧈Gold reverted to 1955 after yesterday's rally to 1970 as bears have taken a swing to test 1964 resistance

👉Interesting Mover: GBPNZD - Down channel identified at 09-Nov-21:30. This pattern is still forming. Possible bullish price movement towards 2.0777 resistance in the next 20 hours

09/11/2023

Market Update - November 09

📉10-yr Treasury yield falls below 4.5%. Falling Treasury yields helped launch explosive rebound in stocks and lifted US govt bonds from 16-yr lows!
🌎Asian stock markets lower on mixed signals of peak US rates and weak Chinese economy
🇨🇳China slipped back into CPI deflation in Oct, as data showed persistently weak economic demand
💲USDIndex holds gains above 105. EURUSD under pressure as EZ retail sales declined
📊Stocks: US100 & US500 benefited further from yields drop. US100 a 9th straight winning session, and 8th straight for S&P
🏦SoftBank adds to shareholder pain with unexpected $6bn loss
📈Disney tops profit estimates
🛢Oil slipped to $74.88, but currently in correction mode. Further pressure added after EIA's new outlook
Gold at $1949
🏦BTC trades past $36,500 on possible ETF approval
🔜Today: BOE chief economist Pill, Fed Chair Powell & Fed President Bostic and Richmond speeches. US initial jobless claims

08/11/2023

Market Snapshot - 08 November

📈 US Dollar gains after last week's sharp selloff.
📉 Short-term correction seen as overdone.
🇩🇪 Euro weakens due to weak German data.
🇦🇺 Australian dollar slides after central bank raises interest rates.
Hinted that the hike may be the last in the current tightening cycle.
🇯🇵 Japanese yen weakens above 150 against the greenback. Traders on edge, looking for signs of intervention from Tokyo.

📈 S&P 500 and Nasdaq record longest streak of gains in two years.
📊 Retreat in U.S. Treasury yields buoy megacap growth stocks.
👀 Investors seek clarity on interest rates from the Federal Reserve.

🛢 Crude prices hit near seven-month lows.
🇨🇳 Disappointing trade data from China raises concerns about the economic health of the largest crude importer.

🪙 Gold prices nursing steep losses over the past two sessions.
📈 Hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials change rate hike expectations.
📢 Focus on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech.

07/11/2023

Market Update - November 07

📊Stock market sentiment has soured again, as yields pick up and investors adjust Fed expectations. Hopes of early rate cuts seem to be fading and Asian stock markets sold off overnight.
🏦RBA resumed raising rates in a widely anticipated move, while signalling a higher hurdle to further policy tightening that pushed AUD lower
💲USDIndex recovered from overnight losses to a session low of 105.35
🇯🇵JPN225 (-1%) snaps 4-day winning streak as US Treasury yields rise
🏦UBS posts $785mn quarterly loss due to Credit Suisse integration costs
🛢Oil declined to $78.83, as uncertain demand prospects and renewed Fed tightening measures concerns outweighed Saudi Arabia & Russia's extended supply cuts.
🧈Gold down trading at $1,966. BTC remained below $35,000

👉Interesting Mover: AUDUSD (-1%) after 25 bp RBA hike, which may have acted as a reminder that key CBs still retain a tightening bias. Next Support at 0.6400 & 0.6380

06/11/2023

Market Update

🏦Last week's market reactions highlighted risks due to unclear central bank communication regarding data dependence and its impact on the real economy
📊Stocks and bonds rallied. Catalysts for the reversal included the less hawkish FOMC, a cooler jobs report, reduced Treasury supply increases and Geopolitical risks
💲 USDIndex fell from 106.95 to 104.84, and USDJPY stood at 149.50. Ueda indicated uncertainty about ending negative interest rates due to ongoing wage-inflation monitoring
📈Wall Street experienced a surge, with US100 up 6.6%, US500 having its best week since Nov 2022, and US30 posting a 5.85% gain
🌎 Asian equities rose after weaker US jobs data eased concerns over rising interest rates
✈️- Ryanair reported record annual profit
🧈Gold fell to $1983, and USOIL dropped to $80.10 per barrel, settling at $80.85

👉Interesting Mover: ETHUSD (+3%) jumped this morning breaking 2-wk range and extending to $1910 area

05/11/2023

In light of the global tensions and severe fluctuations in all markets, the team of trading experts at win ai trade continues to achieve wonderful profits. We also carefully choose distinctive entry points and also orders to stop trades at the ideal time.

01/11/2023

Market Snapshot - 01 November

🇯🇵 Japanese authorities may intervene in currency markets as the yen hit a one-year low.
💵 Traders watch for potential intervention as the dollar maintains strong gains.
🏦 Bank of Japan's minimal changes to yield curve control policy disappoint markets.

📈 U.S. equities closed higher, with gains in Telecoms, Financials, and Industrials sectors.
🇺🇸 Dow Jones added 0.38%, S&P 500 climbed 0.65%, and NASDAQ gained 0.48%.
📈 Boeing and Intel were among the session's biggest gainers.

⛽️ Oil prices eased due to reduced concerns about Middle East supply disruptions.
📉 Brent crude fell 1.4% to $85.02, and WTI dropped to $80.50 on rising OPEC and US output.

🥇 Gold price corrected for the third consecutive day, failing to stay above $2,000.
🏦 Pre-Federal Reserve decision caution prevails, supporting the US Dollar.

31/10/2023

Market Update - October 31 - Stocks Down & Yen plummets

🌎Asian stock markets traded mixed, with China bourses underperforming after weaker than expected PMI reports that signal ongoing weakness, especially in manufacturing
🇯🇵USDJPY jumped to 150.40, after Yen fell to 2-mth lows as BOJ made only minor changes to its policy settings.
📉Earnings beats from McDonald's and SoFi provided support ahead of Apple and other key earnings this week
USDIndex dipped to 105.85 from a peak of 106.704 after Nikkei report
Antipodeans were further pressured by Chinese data, i.e. AUDUSD dipped to 0.6340
🧈GOLD & USOIL: Unwinding of some of Friday's haven demand saw gold fall about -0.5% to $1990, with a USOIL slide to $81.50 (Trendline & 200-DMA)

🔜Today: Canadian GDP, EU prelim GDP & CPI, NZ labor data. Earnings: AMC, BP, Pfizer

👉Interesting Mover: EURJPY (+1.05%) returns 5-day losses and keeps rising with attention turning to 162-162.40 (1998 highs & 2007-2008 highs)

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