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Risk assets took their cue from BTP spreads yesterday, after the announcement that a Eurosceptic minister would be made ...
22/06/2018

Risk assets took their cue from BTP spreads yesterday, after the announcement that a Eurosceptic minister would be made head of the Senate finance committee. Elsewhere, DM government bond yields rallied and credit struggled. EURUSD traded to new YTD lows of 1.1509 yesterday (Bloomberg) http://ow.ly/TudW30kCL2x

Most markets rose yesterday as investors continue to look through the headlines on trade. The most notable move was a 4b...
21/06/2018

Most markets rose yesterday as investors continue to look through the headlines on trade. The most notable move was a 4bp selloff in US Treasury yields
Barclays Research estimate the direct impact from the 25% US tariffs on USD50bn of Chinese imports (in two batches) in H2 this year will depress Chinese growth by http://ow.ly/Rscg30kBkOM

Markets opened lower yesterday after President Trump directed the USTR to identify $200bn of Chinese goods imports as po...
20/06/2018

Markets opened lower yesterday after President Trump directed the USTR to identify $200bn of Chinese goods imports as potential targets for further tariffs, $100bn more than previously. Equities and government bond yields both opened lower before trading sideways in an otherwise quiet session. JPY was the best http://ow.ly/PxcV30kApzL

In an otherwise relatively quiet session yesterday, immigration issues were front and centre on both sides of the pond. ...
19/06/2018

In an otherwise relatively quiet session yesterday, immigration issues were front and centre on both sides of the pond. In the US, various members of the Trump administration defended the recently instituted policy of separating child migrants from their families at the Mexican border (Bloomberg). On the other side of the http://ow.ly/ff5U30kz2bm

European stocks and bonds rallied and the euro fell after the ECB conveyed a modestly dovish tone in their governing cou...
15/06/2018

European stocks and bonds rallied and the euro fell after the ECB conveyed a modestly dovish tone in their governing council meeting yesterday
The Governing Council announced that net asset purchases are expected to fall from €30bn to €15bn per month in Q4 and then end in December 2018 and that the first DFR http://ow.ly/WokS30kwqNs

The Fed raised the target range for the federal funds rate by 25bp, as expected, and signaled two more hikes this year a...
14/06/2018

The Fed raised the target range for the federal funds rate by 25bp, as expected, and signaled two more hikes this year and three next, as the median projection for interest rates moved higher for 2018 and 2019. Although the increase in the median went against Barclays Research expectations in this meeting http://ow.ly/VHEx30kvikl

Equity markets were little moved on news from the US / North Korea summit, as investors now look to the Federal Reserve ...
13/06/2018

Equity markets were little moved on news from the US / North Korea summit, as investors now look to the Federal Reserve rate decision this evening
Barclays Research expect the committee to raise the target range for the federal funds rate 25bp, to 1.75-2.0%, justified by recent data that suggest acceleration in economic http://ow.ly/hrnr30ku534

Risk traded well and the JPY weakened as investors await further details of a “comprehensive” and historic document sign...
12/06/2018

Risk traded well and the JPY weakened as investors await further details of a “comprehensive” and historic document signed by US President Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un. Given the number of issues (nuclear program, ballistic missile program, economic sanctions, etc), http://ow.ly/KLx030ktbGn

Most Asian stocks pushed higher to begin the week, despite a tumultuous G7 meeting at the weekend, with President Trump ...
11/06/2018

Most Asian stocks pushed higher to begin the week, despite a tumultuous G7 meeting at the weekend, with President Trump claiming that he would instruct US representatives not to endorse the G7 communiqué. CAD weakened on the open http://ow.ly/nQmA30krz83

European bond yields rose and the EUR strengthened after the ECB’s chief economist suggested that the ECB would begin fo...
07/06/2018

European bond yields rose and the EUR strengthened after the ECB’s chief economist suggested that the ECB would begin formal discussions on ending asset purchases at its meeting next week. Italian politics will continue to be important although we may need to await the budget for further information http://ow.ly/Ut9T30koDuB

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