05/07/2022
Hello all,
With the climate of the housing market changing/evolving, I am getting questions and hearing statements that I felt needed to be addressed.
The main statement of concern, "I'll wait until the bubble bursts to buy".
Folks, this is not a "bubble burst" scenario. Housing prices will continue to rise for the next 1 1/2-2 years. Then it will just plateau. These prices are the new norm. Housing demand is still (and will continue to be) high.
There are a few heavy factors to this. The builders are that far behind for a variety of reasons. Supply chain issues, lack of labor help, rising costs of materials, all have a play in why they are and will continue to be behind for a minute.
And then, add in a large migration from the northern states because the pandemic exposed that most can do their jobs from home. So why not move to a state with no state taxes and a lower cost of living. Clearly this leads to a higher demand for housing and tougher competition because the inbounds are willing to pay more for housing since it is still cheaper than what they are used to paying.
Question: "Is it still a good time to buy?"
The simple answer, yes. Interest rates will continue to rise (2 more hikes expected this year and up to 4 more next year). And with housing expected to increase in cost (as much as 10-20%) over the next 2 years... Yes, buy now, to at least be able to take advantage of the increase in rising property values.
In summary, even if you have to take a higher interest rate for now, it will still be lower than what it will look like a year from now (possibly, completely pricing you out of the option to buy). Rates are something we can fix later when the rates finally come back down. Housing prices are not something we can fix later.
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