06/18/2026
๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐๐ฎ๐น ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐น๐น๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ๐ ๐ข๐ป๐น๐ ๐ฆ๐น๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐๐น๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐ป๐ด๐ฒ๐ฟ.
Gradual Selling Leaves Bonds Only Slightly Stronger. With both sides signing the peace memo, the market was immediately willing to react in the overnight session, but that reaction fell short of what we might expect for an official peace deal. This is a bond market problem more than an Iran war problem. Case in point, oil prices stayed flat after their big overnight drop. Stocks added to strong overnight gains. Bonds were the odd man out. Part of the reason is that bonds did more than stocks to get in position for this eventuality last week. As of today, both the S&P and 10yr are close enough to the best recent levels to say the overall market reaction has been fairly even keeled. We'd also expect more bullishness among bond traders when the deal is officially official (possibly after Friday's scheduled meeting in Switzerland). Finally, bonds could be holding back a bit to see how Wednesday's Fed announcement goes. Econ Data / Events NY Fed Manufacturing (Jun) 5.70 vs 14 f'cast, 19.60 prev Industrial Production (May) 0.1% vs 0.3% f'cast, 0.7% prev Market Movement Recap 08:49 AM Nice rally overnight on confirmation of U.S./Iran peace deal with scheduled signing. MBS up nearly a quarter point and 10yr down 3.3 bps at 4.452 12:35 PM MBS still up 7 ticks (.22) and 10yr down 2.4bps at 4.461 03:21 PM MBS up 5 ticks (.16) and 10yr down 2.2bps at 4.463
https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/markets/mbs-recap-06152026
via Mortgage News Daily