Intelligent Investing, LLC

Intelligent Investing, LLC Expert and accurate financial market forecasts that allow you to make the right trading and investing decisions. By being such, Intelligent Investing (I.I.) I.I.

The key to successful investing in todayโ€™s stock market is to be objective and intelligent. will help you become more profitable. will provide updates and insights on the market and many individual stocks, ETFs, and commodities. You then take the next step. follows the DOW, SPX, NAZ, NDX, NYA, WLSH5000, and RUT
I.I. follows over 50 individual companies, from the big names such as AAPL, GOOGL, to l

esser know companies such as VTNR and SWKS
I.I. follows over 10 ETFs such as SPXL, SPXU, GDX, USO, etc
I.I. follows over 10 different market breadth indicators such as Zweig Breadth, McClellan Oscillator, Summation Index, A/D line, etc. Using Elliot Wave Theory (EWT), classic Technical Analysis (TA) and several Technical Indicators (TI) price charts are analyzed to determine price-trends, changes in that trend, and price targets. Entry and exit levels that are low risk & high reward are what you want. A market timing, buy/sell, indicator has been developed, called the A.I., for which frequently alerts are given. EWT in combination with TA and TIs is the most powerful and successful way to analyze the price charts and become profitable without too much hassle. lets price, and price only determine the trades. News=Noise. Invest, be intelligent: invest intelligently!

โณ The 4-year Bitcoin clock is not a law.๐Ÿ” For ~17 years Bitcoin has shown a rough 4-year rhythm: three stronger years, t...
09/01/2026

โณ The 4-year Bitcoin clock is not a law.

๐Ÿ” For ~17 years Bitcoin has shown a rough 4-year rhythm: three stronger years, then one weaker year. Tops and bottoms have often clustered around December ยฑ1 month.

๐Ÿšซ A lot of people treat that clock as a law. It isnโ€™t.

๐Ÿ“‰ Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. So far this cycleโ€™s low has arrived months ahead of the usual window. That does not automatically mean the 4-year pattern is โ€œdead.โ€ It does mean the old calendar is not a contract.

๐Ÿงฉ Price is not governed by one repeating shape. Liquidity, ETFs, rates, regulation, adoption, and positioning all matter. Assuming three completed cycles will keep printing the same dates forever is naive.

๐ŸŒŠ From a harmonics / Elliott Wave view, those three 4-year cycles may simply be parts of a larger structure โ€” a 12-year wave, perhaps nested in something larger still. That is a hypothesis, not a forecast. Bitcoin is young. The Dow has 130+ years of data. BTC has three 4-year samples.

โ“ The next phase could still be another 4-year rhythm with smaller percentage swings as the market matures. It could also resolve as longer or shorter legs. For example, in EW terms:
โ€ข one 4-year cycle โ‰ˆ minor
โ€ข three of those โ‰ˆ primary
โ€ข the next larger pattern โ‰ˆ intermediate โ€” and symmetry is not required!

๐Ÿง  There is no way to know yet which degree we are in. The only firm conclusion from 17 years of data is that the unknowns still outweigh the pattern.

โฐ Keep the clock. Donโ€™t worship it.

$BTC

๐Ÿ“Š $SPX heading into its weakest month โ€” with a possible Elliott Wave count lined up behind it!Seasonality: 98-year aver...
08/28/2026

๐Ÿ“Š $SPX heading into its weakest month โ€” with a possible Elliott Wave count lined up behind it!

Seasonality: 98-year average peaks late Aug, then slides through September.
25-year / midterm-year path is worse: sharp Sep drop, then Octโ€“Dec bounce.
2026 is a midterm year. Last 10 midterm Septembers: 6 down, avg ~-2%.

This weekโ€™s low ~7,638 is the line.

๐ŸŒŠ EW: June high = 5 of 3. Aug high = Bounce (b). Today's high is a possible 2nd wave. Break 7,638 โ†’ 5-wave decline toward 7,122โ€“7,190 (138.2% + 200-SMA).
Green path: 3 into 7,300s, then 5 into ~7,190. Red overall path: c = 1.681ร—a โ†’ 7,122.

โš ๏ธ Bears in trouble if 7,638 holds and 7,816 (Aug high) breaks. Serious warning back above 7,771, as then a grind to new ATHs is underway.

Lose 7,638 = September seasonality + wave 3/c become the same trade. 7,100โ€“7,200 is the magnet. โš–๏ธ NFA

๐Ÿ“Š $NDX coiled for a volatile move!Daily Bollinger Bands are squeezed: โฌ†๏ธ ~30,280 | โž– ~29,443 | โฌ‡๏ธ ~28,600. That's a ~1,6...
08/27/2026

๐Ÿ“Š $NDX coiled for a volatile move!

Daily Bollinger Bands are squeezed: โฌ†๏ธ ~30,280 | โž– ~29,443 | โฌ‡๏ธ ~28,600. That's a ~1,680-pt width. Tighter than the Mayโ€“June expansion. MACD flat near zero. Coil, not trend.

๐ŸŒŠ 2 EW counts:
Preferred: June high ~30,762 = wave 3. Now a complex flat wave 4. Bounce can still complete a small gray W-v to 30,500โ€“30,750. Then drop toward ~26,700 (c=a), near the rising 200-SMA.

Alt: rally off late-July low = only wave 2. Fibs now in play: 50% 29,520 | 61.8% 29,680 | 76.4% 29,870. Exhaust near 29,677โ€“29,934, then wave 3 down to 27,732 โ†’ ~26,900.

โš ๏ธ Alt dies above bear warnings: ๐ŸŸ  29,934 = serious warning ๐ŸŸฃ 30,195 = wave-2-then-lower OFF ๐Ÿ”ด 30,762 = June high

Squeeze โ‰  direction. Squeeze = bigger next move.
Close above 30,195 = bulls take control, crash-after-2 fades.
Lose 28,608โ€“29,109 + lower band = green wave-3 down gains odds.

Coiled. Resolution coming. โš–๏ธ

๐Ÿ“Š CNN Fear & Greed Index vs SPXThe overlay shows sentiment has been running in Greed territory while the S&P 500 sits ne...
08/26/2026

๐Ÿ“Š CNN Fear & Greed Index vs SPX

The overlay shows sentiment has been running in Greed territory while the S&P 500 sits near recent highs.

Historically on this chart, although the data is only 1 year, Extreme Fear readings have aligned more closely with lasting lows, while elevated Greed has often appeared as rallies stall or correct.

Current reading remains elevated even as price action has lost some momentum.

Is sentiment still supportive โ€” or is this another warning sign? Comment below.

๐Ÿ“Š Bitcoin follow-upLast Wednesday the impulse was already in motion. BTC has since run from ~$64k to nearly $80k โ€” still...
08/24/2026

๐Ÿ“Š Bitcoin follow-up

Last Wednesday the impulse was already in motion. BTC has since run from ~$64k to nearly $80k โ€” still tracking the Elliott Wave path mapped for premium members.

๐ŸŒŠ Daily count remains a 5-wave advance off the July low. The vertical rally looks like wave 5 of W-iii. RSI is stretched at 83, so a wave-4 (gray W-iv) pullback would be healthy before the next 5th wave.

๐ŸซทThe โ€œclassic 4-year cycle bottom later this yearโ€ camp is still waiting at the wrong time.

๐Ÿ“Š Bitcoin UpdateIn Mondayโ€™s Daily Newsletter, I showed my premium members that a big move was coming (see screenshot).๐Ÿš€T...
08/19/2026

๐Ÿ“Š Bitcoin Update

In Mondayโ€™s Daily Newsletter, I showed my premium members that a big move was coming (see screenshot).

๐Ÿš€Today BTC is up ~6%.

๐Ÿ’ชI was already turning bullish on July 1 โ€” the exact day Bitcoin bottomed. Archived here:https://intelligentinvesting.market/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/Intelligent-Investing-Daily-Newsletter-07-01-2026.pdf

๐ŸซทThose still waiting for a โ€œclassicโ€ 4-year cycle bottom later this year will likely wait at the wrong time. That cycle pattern appears to be over. Besides, using it as one's only buy/sell parameter is a dangerous, overly simplistic approach.

๐Ÿ“Š SPX Elliott Wave Update: Two Paths Still OpenWe are tracking a possible five-wave decline from the recent ATH which co...
08/19/2026

๐Ÿ“Š SPX Elliott Wave Update: Two Paths Still Open

We are tracking a possible five-wave decline from the recent ATH which could be c-wave of an irregular flat 4th wave (gray W-iv) or the start of a larger decline (gray W-a/i). Thus,

๐ŸŸข A Bullish option remains alive:
A final 5th wave off the July 29 low can still reach the ideal target zone of 7885-7995 before a larger correction begins.

๐Ÿ”ด The alternative (bearish) option is:
The larger top may already be in, with the current structure looking like the early stages of that move lower.

โš ๏ธ Key warning levels for the bears:
7719 / 7744 / 7773 / 7793 / 7816

Which scenario do you think is operable from here - the final 5th higher, or the top already in? ๐Ÿค”

โš ๏ธ Rare pattern just printed on the Dow JonesTwo consecutive daily sessions with both Open & Close above the upper 20-da...
08/06/2026

โš ๏ธ Rare pattern just printed on the Dow Jones

Two consecutive daily sessions with both Open & Close above the upper 20-day 2ฯƒ Bollinger Band, and the second day forming a classic shooting star ๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ

According to only 2 occurrences since 1992 ๐Ÿ“Š

Prior cases:
โ€ข May 10, 2021 โ†’ 1d โ€“1.36% | 5d โ€“1.19% | 10d โ€“1.00% | 20d โ€“0.41%
โ€ข Oct 28, 2025 โ†’ 1d โ€“0.16% | 5d โ€“1.30% | 10d +0.46% | 20d โ€“1.24%

Avg of completed instances: mild weakness over the next 1โ€“20 days ๐Ÿ“‰

Yesterdayโ€™s (Aug 5) candle matches the setup exactly.
History is limited, but the signal has leaned bearish so far.

Address

San Francisco, CA

Opening Hours

Monday 9am - 1pm
Tuesday 9am - 1pm
Wednesday 9am - 1pm
Thursday 9am - 1pm
Friday 9am - 1pm
Saturday 10am - 1pm

Website

Alerts

Be the first to know and let us send you an email when Intelligent Investing, LLC posts news and promotions. Your email address will not be used for any other purpose, and you can unsubscribe at any time.

Contact The Business

Send a message to Intelligent Investing, LLC:

Shortcuts

Share