09/19/2025
So what's going on with the Fed dropping Rates? How much did mortgage rates improve? I get a lot of these questions every time the Fed takes action.
The Fed and mortgage market are affected by the same economic news but do not directly impact each other. The difference is that the mortgage market reacts real time to market news and the economy. Mortgage rates change daily, sometimes 2-3 times a day based on economic news. The mortgage market follows the trends for treasury bonds. When the stock market goes up quickly you will likely see an increase in rates as folks sell their bonds to invest in the stock market. The supply increases and rates go up to entice investment into the bonds. When the stock market takes a big fall folks invest in bonds as a safe haven, the supply diminishes and rates fall.
Fed rates affect more of the short term loans such as auto rates, home equity lines of credit, and other short term personal loans.
As an example, since the average interest rate high point of over 7% back in Jan 2025 rates have already fallen about 0.75% to an average of about 6.25% yet the Fed has only dropped rates 0.25%. The blue line below represents 30 year fixed rates and the green line is the 15 year fixed.
I hope this helps!