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TraderAl, NORCAL, Sacramento, CA (2026)

10/20/2025

TSLA's Wild Ride Today (Oct 20, 2025): Up, But Choppy—Upside Tilt Pre-Earnings?Hitting refresh on TSLA all day? Same—it's been a classic pre-earnings tease: Grinding higher overall but with enough fakeouts to keep the seatbelts on. Closed up ~1.1% at $444.20 (from Friday's $439.31), flirting with that $445 resistance but pulling back from intraday highs around $448.50 mid-afternoon.75d56a Volume clocked ~150M shares (above avg), signaling real interest without the panic selling—think steady bids on the delivery beat reruns and robotaxi FOMO, offset by some profit-taking ahead of Wed's report.barrons.comQuick Tape BreakdownOpen: Gapped to ~$440.08 (mild green), shrugged off early Nasdaq wobbles.Morning Grind: Churned 443-445, volume building on call flow (retail loading 450C's hard).b1bc24 Dipped to $440 support twice but bounced quick—buyers defended like it's the Alamo.Afternoon Spike: Ripped to $448+ on whispers of energy margin beats (12.5 GWh deploys = gold), then faded to close flat-ish. Implied move's ~7% (±$31, so $413-$475 range), but today's action screamed "cautious bulls" with IV at 59% (crunch incoming post-report).b670a7Techs: RSI ~65 (not overbought), MACD curling up—golden cross teasing on 1H charts if it holds $442.d56cb0 Broader market helped (S&P +0.5%), but TSLA outperformed on solo hype.Net: Solid session, no fireworks, but it reclaimed the 50-day MA (~$442) convincingly—feels like accumulation, not distribution.Heading Upside Into Earnings? 65/35 Yes, But Strap InShort answer: More likely than not, yeah—momentum's your friend till Wed close, targeting $450-460 if no curveballs (e.g., Musk tweet storm or macro spook). Why?Bull Tailwinds: Q3 deliveries (497k) still echoing as a "recovery win," energy's the hero (margins ~30%?), and robotaxi/Optimus teases from We, Robot are fueling the narrative—analysts like Wedbush eye $600 PT on AI ramps.21012e9fbc83 X buzz is electric (pun intended): Polymarket odds at 70% for EPS beat ($0.53 whisper, but $0.60 possible via credits), and flows scream calls over puts.e5368d0d3e09 If guidance flags 2026 next-gen ramps or FSD unsupervised green lights, easy 5-8% pop.Bear Claws: Tax-credit hangover risks Q4 softness (~450k deliveries), Cybertruck drag (YTD flops), and EPS down 24% YoY could trigger IV crush + 10% dump to $400 support.4222b13ffeb1 Morningstar's "fairly valued" at $250 fair value if autos stay king—watch for Musk's tone on demand.b8931eVibe: Upside bias holds if it stays above $442 tomorrow—

09/02/2025

USA ISM Manufacturing PMI For August 48.7 Vs 49.0 Est. ゚viralシ

08/06/2025

Apple to Announce Another $100 Billion Investment in American Manufacturing -- WSJ

08/06/25 8:50 AM

By Amrith Ramkumar, Natalie Andrews and Rolfe Winkler

Apple will pledge to invest another $100 billion in U.S. operations at a White House event on Wednesday, adding to the tech industry's efforts to meet President Trump's request to expand domestic manufacturing.

Investors hope appeals by Apple and other companies can limit the economic damage from tariffs. Apple shares rose nearly 4% on Wednesday morning.

"Today's announcement with Apple is another win for our manufacturing industry," White House spokeswoman Taylor Rogers said. An Apple spokesman declined to comment.

The investment pledge, set to be announced later Wednesday, adds to a $500 billion four-year commitment Apple made in February that repackaged much of Apple's existing spending plans in the U.S, according to analysts.

Apple has made similar announcements dating back to the first Trump administration. Its investment in American manufacturing still pales next to investments the company is making in its supply chains in China, India and elsewhere in Southeast Asia, where nearly all of its devices are made.

"The market seems to believe that we're in a pay-to-play world where companies can buy their way into tariff exemptions by making commitments to invest in the U.S., even if those investments fall far short of actually re-shoring manufacturing," said Craig Moffett, an analyst at Moffett Nathanson. Moffett said it isn't clear where this money is going, but that it wasn't a commitment to make iPhones in the U.S.

Trump has criticized Apple for not making its smartphones domestically. The tech sector has announced more than $ 1.5 trillion in commitments to investing in the U.S. since Trump took office, hoping for favorable policies on tariffs and digital-trade barriers. Skeptics say splashy announcements like Apple's often repackage existing plans or don't always come to fruition in terms of creating the promised jobs.

Trump announced an additional 25% tariff on India Wednesday for buying Russian oil, which is set to raise the total tariffs on exports to the U.S. from New Delhi to 50%.

08/06/2025

Stock Market Today: US Futures Edge Higher As Investors Await Earnings From McDonald's, Uber And Walt Disney

08/06/25 2:53 AM

5:53 AM EDT, August 06, 2025 (Benzinga Newswire)

U.S. stock futures rose on Wednesday after ending lower on Tuesday. Futures of major benchmark indices were up.

President Donald Trump indicated the possibility of imposing tariffs on imported pharmaceuticals that could rise up to 250%, indicating the highest rate he has proposed so far.

He also indicated that levies on semiconductor imports would be announced within the next week.

Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.24% and the two-year bond was at 3.74%. The CME Group's FedWatch tool‘s projections show markets pricing an 85.5% likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting the current interest rates for the Sept. 17 decision.

Futures Change (+/-)
Dow Jones 0.38%
S&P 500 0.33%
Nasdaq 100 0.16%
Russell 2000 0.44%

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, rose in premarket on Wednesday. The SPY was up 0.37% at $630.30, while the QQQ advanced 0.19% to $561.35, according to Benzinga Pro data.

Cues From Last Session:

Materials and consumer discretionary stocks bucked the overall market trend, closing the session higher on Tuesday, while communication services, information technology, and utilities stocks recorded the biggest losses on the S&P 500.

U.S. stocks settled lower, with the Nasdaq Composite falling more than 100 points during the session, as most sectors closed on a negative note.

Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:PLTR) delivered a standout performance, with the artificial intelligence-driven software company’s stock climbing around 8% after it exceeded Wall Street's revenue and earnings forecasts.

Pfizer Inc. (NYSE:PFE) also reported better-than-expected second-quarter results and raised its FY 2025 adjusted EPS guidance above estimates. In contrast, shares of Inspire Medical Systems Inc. (NYSE:INSP) dipped more than 32% after the company reported worse-than-expected second-quarter GAAP EPS and cut its FY25 guidance below estimates, leading to multiple analyst do

07/30/2025

With Ayala Malls Manila Bay – I just got recognized as one of their top fans! 🎉

07/30/2025

US GDP (QoQ) (Q2) +3% vs +2.5% Est.

07/29/2025

Trump's EU Deal 'Good For US Markets,' Say Experts: META, AAPL, PLTR Among Likely Winners — See Full List

07/29/25 1:21 AM

4:21 AM EDT, July 29, 2025 (Benzinga Newswire)

A newly finalized trade agreement between the U.S. and the European Union is poised to significantly benefit U.S.-based LNG exporters, the Magnificent 7 technology giants, and the broader tech sector, according to market experts.

What Happened: The deal, announced ahead of the Aug. 1 deadline, is seen as removing a key layer of uncertainty that had hung over the markets.

Louis Navellier, founder and chief investment officer of Navellier & Associates, told Benzinga that LNG exporters such as Dorian LPG Ltd. as likely winners. He noted that “the analyst community is revising their earnings estimates higher” for these companies.

The trade deal includes the EU's commitment to purchase $750 billion in U.S. energy over three years and invest another $600 billion in the U.S. economy.

Navellier also pointed to the “Magnificent 7 and other big U.S. technology companies” as beneficiaries, anticipating that “the EU is expected to be more reluctant to hit them with digital taxes” under the Donald Trump Administration.

The agreement’s impact extends to the overall U.S. stock market. Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Northlight Asset Management, told Benzinga that he views the deal as “good for US markets as it removes some of the uncertainty that was an overhang for the market, and at a 15% rate, it is lower than what was originally feared.”

Zaccarelli reiterated the positive outlook for technology and emphasized the energy sector, stating it “will be an even bigger beneficiary because of the intent of the EU to buy more energy from the United States as a result of the new trade deal.”

While the deal brings clarity, some of the positive news may have already been factored into stock prices. Zaccarelli noted, “news of this deal being ‘close’ was released last week and some of the good news was likely already reflected in prices before today's official announcement.”

Here’s a list of the energy and technology sector beneficiaries highlighted by experts;

07/28/2025

Dow Futures Rise After Trump Strikes EU Deal -- WSJ

07/28/25 2:45 AM

Investors are cheering President Trump's trade deal with the European Union.

Futures pointed to opening gains for U.S. indexes, while chip stocks led European markets higher. The dollar strengthened, including against the euro, in another sign of relief.

The deal removes a major risk for investors: that two of the biggest economic powers could descend into a trade war when Trump's Aug. 1 tariff deadline expires. Markets rallied last week after reports suggested an agreement was close, muting Monday's moves.

The EU deal came soon after Trump's accord with Japan, another of America's major trading partners. The dealmaking suggests the president isn't pursuing an all-out trade war, as investors feared when he announced his "Liberation Day" tariffs in April.

Since then, markets have roared back so fast that some money managers have a new concern--that a market bubble is forming.

Major trading partners, including Canada and Mexico, have yet to strike deals, and negotiations continue with China. Secretary Scott Bessent is due to hold talks with Chinese officials in Sweden on Monday. Bessent has said he plans to work on an extension of a tariff truce set to expire on Aug. 12.

Some details of the U.S.-EU deal remain unknown. Trump said the U.S. would charge 15% on most European goods, and that the bloc had agreed to buy $750 billion of American energy products and invest $600 billion more in the U.S.

In recent trading:

--Futures for the S&P 500, Nasdaq-100 and Dow industrials advanced. The S&P ended last week with its fifth straight record close, its longest such streak in over a year.

--The dollar rose against a basket of 16 currencies.

--Energy exporters, including EQT and Cheniere Energy, gained in premarket trading.

--U.S. defense stocks rose premarket, while their European peers slipped. Trump said the EU had agreed to buy large quantities of military equipment.

--Dutch chip-equipment company ASML boosted the Stoxx Europe 600. The EU's Ursula von der Leyen said semiconductors would be subject to the baseline 15% tariff, rather than a higher levy.

07/16/2025

Nvidia Is 'On A March To $5 Trillion' Market Capitalization, Says Dan Ives As He Predicts Bullish Environment For Tech And Crypto: 'Very Strong Second Half'

07/15/2025

Inflation Heated Up to 2.7% in June, in Line With Expectations -- 2nd Update

Inflation picked up in June, a potential sign that companies are starting to pass tariff costs on to consumers.

Consumer prices rose 2.7% in June from a year earlier, the Labor Department said Tuesday, faster than May's increase of 2.4%.

That was in line with the expectations of economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal.

Core inflation excluding volatile food and energy prices was 2.9%, also in line with forecasts.

Prices of household furnishings and supplies rose by 1% in June compared with May, prices of video and audio products rose 1.1%, toy prices rose 1.8% and apparel prices rose 0.4%. All four categories tend to be sensitive to tariffs. At the same time, prices of new cars fell 0.3%.

Month over month, consumer prices rose 0.3% in June compared with May, as economists had expected. Core prices rose by 0.2%, slightly less than the 0.3% increase economists had predicted.

Stock futures rose slightly after the report.

The Trump administration has been ramping up tariff threats against the biggest U.S. trade partners in recent days. On Saturday, President Trump said the U.S. would start charging 30% levies on goods from Mexico and the European Union starting Aug. 1. On Monday, Trump threatened 100% "secondary tariffs" on Russia if it didn't reach a peace deal with Ukraine.

While these announcements were too recent to have an impact on June inflation, the continued trade uncertainty could affect future prices.

Economists generally agree that tariffs raise prices and hurt economic growth but disagree over how big the impact of the White House tariffs will be, or when any price increases might start to show up. Many companies rushed to fill up their inventories by buying goods before tariffs took effect, making it easier for them to hold off on price increases in the spring.

Goldman Sachs economists estimate that U.S. consumers will end up paying 70% of tariffs' direct costs. Walmart said in May that it would be forced to raise prices in response to tariffs. Clothing brand Ralph Lauren has also said it was considering price increases.

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07/15/2025

Nvidia Resumes H20 Shipments To China As Jensen Huang Meets Trump, Beijing Officials — 'Fully Compliant' RTX PRO Aims To Bridge AI Cold War

07/14/25 8:30 PM

11:30 PM EDT, July 14, 2025 (Benzinga Newswire)

Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) announced it will resume sales of its H20 GPU to China and unveiled a new RTX PRO graphics processor designed specifically for Chinese customers, according to a company statement released Monday.

Check out the current price of NVDA stock here.

What Happened: CEO Jensen Huang said during visits to Washington and Beijing that Nvidia is filing applications to sell the H20 GPU again, with the U.S. government providing assurances that licenses will be granted. The company expects to begin deliveries soon, according to Nvidia.

The new RTX PRO GPU is “fully compliant” with U.S. export controls and “ideal for digital twin AI for smart factories and logistics,” Huang announced. The chip represents Nvidia’s latest effort to maintain market share in China while navigating heightened trade restrictions.

The announcements come as Huang conducted diplomatic visits to both capitals this month. In Washington, he met with President Donald Trump and policymakers, reaffirming Nvidia’s support for domestic AI infrastructure and manufacturing initiatives. In Beijing, he discussed AI productivity benefits with government and industry officials.

See Also: S&P 500 Record Highs Hide A Fracture Unseen In Decades

Why It Matters: The H20 resumption marks a significant development for NVIDIA’s Chinese operations. U.S. export controls have restricted semiconductor firms from selling advanced AI chips to Chinese customers, forcing NVIDIA to develop modified versions for the Chinese market.

CNBC's Mad Money host Jim Cramer posted on X Monday, saying the latest Nvidia news is “so huge” it could turn Nasdaq futures around. As of now, Nasdaq-100 futures rose 12.50 points to 23,048.00, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 88.14 points to 44,459.65 today.

This Nvidia news, so huge, could turn the Nasdaq futures around..

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07/14/2025

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