Investing with a Joe

06/02/2022

If you buy the market and it drops 30% it doesn't mean you were wrong. It just means you are going to have to wait longer.

05/30/2022

It feels a lot easier to buy after a week like last week. I think you can always buy the market if your time horizon is long enough.

The fundamental picture looks better than the technicals.

The thing that I saw negative was the dollar rolling over this will increase commodity prices.

I wouldn’t chase the market but I think you have to believe growth stocks have or will bottom in the next 3 months along with oil bonds and the rest of the market.

I just don’t think from a time perspective we are there yet. I still think the risk is down not up but you’re gonna compound regardless.

05/22/2022

Time invested is everything.

Found on Google from inspirationfeed.com

05/22/2022

Everything that’s been done the last 7 years has been inflationary now it’s here.

A long term bear market is the best time to invest and compound even if it doesn’t feel good.

Bonds are finally investable. I’m personally buying HYD I’m like HYG below 75.

I don’t like US treasuries I still think we will see a 3.5 ten year.

The risk is that the bond market sell off intensifies and rates rise to the point of bankruptcies and unemployment.

I think we need it but that’s not politically popular and could be painful.

If your time horizon is five years and your dollar cost averaging this is great for you.

Cash is probably still the best preservation of capital but I think global bonds and stock are buyable.

S&P 3200 is in the cards. Ask yourself if you saw this price 6 months ago would you have bought it?

MS CRWD IIPR SOFI NEE IVZ SPG JPM DIS is where I been putting money to work as well as VXUS the dollar keeps getting stronger great if your buying foreign assets.Terrible in the short term.

05/12/2022

This may be the first recession ever where the unemployment rate is basically 0. The moves in the market are fascinating. As the individual blow ups occur we increase the risk of a major financial issue. The interest rate moves on a global scale have never been seen. The potential deflationary impact can’t be underestimated. We could in my view easily double the ytd losses from here just because of how much damage has been done in all risk assets. I think cash is king until the bond market starts to rally when stocks fall. As long as everything falls at once it will keep falling until the lowest risk asset which is bonds can bottom.

05/09/2022

There’s no reason to chase it here. 3500 or worse looks likely. I still think buying bonds slowly makes sense holding cash and waiting on 3500.

Quality is everything. The market won’t bottom until bonds do. We are at 3.25 if we get over 3.5 I don’t think the debt market will like it…

With the election the war inflation covid etc. there no bid everyone is waiting.

The good news is your dividends compound every quarter so even if if you do nothing you are buying the market cheaper.

I do think you probably buy bonds on the way down with stocks then buy stocks.

Bonds and stocks aren’t supposed to fall together but when they do the only safe place is cash and your losing 8% a year there.

Pick your poison.

04/24/2022

Watch the 10 year once we hit 3.50% I don’t think we can get above it or stay there more than 3 months without breaking something.

04/24/2022

I’ve been buying stocks all year. We are about to see the equity market reprice I suspect led by mega cap technology. Buying stocks as they continue to fall is difficult.

Bonds are now looking attractive compared to stocks so the price has to come down . That doesn’t mean we have a recession.

Owning assets that pay a dividend will keep you compounding at lower prices. VXUS is still I think the best offensive defense.

I think you do have to be ready to wait two years on a new all time high but I also think you have to be ready for it in 6 months.

Timing is everything use limit orders. If you want some income HYD in a taxable account is attractive.

Stocks I like on dips PWR,NEE,SPG,HD,DIS,IIPR,MS,QSR,CRWD,GNRC

Etf HYD,TMDV,VXUS

don’t chase it but take what it gives you.

Great statistic. The average stock moves up or down 50%+ in a given year. Use that to your advantage.

03/20/2022

‎Show @@@, Ep You Can’t Win, Jerome…and a Conversation with Peter Boockvar of Bleakley Advisory Group - Mar 18, 2022

03/20/2022

IIPR another dividend increase to 1.75. I think it’s up around 225% in 2-3 years. Love it!

03/20/2022

If you invested the past week was the best in two years.

SOFI and DOCU started to rally both ceos aggressively buying shares.

The FED is jawboning but they aren’t going to do what they did before raising rates 17 times causing a financial crisis. They haven’t forgot that lesson.

I’m watching housing and autos this where the Fed wants inflation to stop the most.

If the market continues I would raise some cash.

I think we remain in a 4100-5100 range on the S&P finishing the year close to where we started.

MegaCap tech is still overvalued.

03/14/2022

Heres where I'm invested.