Market Misbehavior

Market Misbehavior Helping investors make mindful decisions | Invest smarter, live
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05/29/2026

Special all mailbag edition launches at 7:25pm ET / 4:25pm PT!

Exposure Index popped up to 98% vs. last week around 82%. When this indicator gets "leveraged long" at over 100%, I s...
05/29/2026

Exposure Index popped up to 98% vs. last week around 82%. When this indicator gets "leveraged long" at over 100%, I start to get concerned that money managers in this survey are a bit too optimistic. Last reading over 100% was Dec 2025, providing an early warning for top in Q1 2026.

The Health Care sector $XLV is the only defensive sector that managed to outperform $SPX over the last few weeks. Until...
05/29/2026

The Health Care sector $XLV is the only defensive sector that managed to outperform $SPX over the last few weeks. Until Utilities $XLU Consumer Staples $XLP and Real Estate $XLRE turn higher, these relative lines read bullish for equities.

$VIX now below 16, at its lowest levels since Jan 2026. Before you get all "it's so low it's probably bearish" you shou...
05/29/2026

$VIX now below 16, at its lowest levels since Jan 2026. Before you get all "it's so low it's probably bearish" you should note that the $VIX can get low and stay low for a while. A pop of 20 is usually a much better warning sign!

05/28/2026

Live market recap kicks off at 5pm ET!

05/27/2026

Live market recap kicks off at 5pm ET / 2pm PT!

chart now featuring a failed test of the 200-day moving average, followed by a breakdown through Fibonacci support and...
05/27/2026

chart now featuring a failed test of the 200-day moving average, followed by a breakdown through Fibonacci support and the 50-day moving average. Guilty until proven innocent?

How bearish do I want to be when the $VIX is safely below 20?Answer? Not very.
05/27/2026

How bearish do I want to be when the $VIX is safely below 20?
Answer? Not very.

Going live TODAY at 1:00 PM ET.After years of working with investors and advisors, I've noticed the same pattern: most p...
05/27/2026

Going live TODAY at 1:00 PM ET.

After years of working with investors and advisors, I've noticed the same pattern: most people spend the majority of their time on entries. The exit gets treated as an afterthought.

That's a problem because the exit is where the money is actually made or lost.

Today I'm dedicating my entire webcast to fixing that. Real charts, real examples, no theory.

📌 Join me here → marketmisbehavior.com/exit

New Dow Theory confirming a bullish phase this month, with both the equal-weight $SPX $RSP and equal-weight $QQQ $QQQE m...
05/27/2026

New Dow Theory confirming a bullish phase this month, with both the equal-weight $SPX $RSP and equal-weight $QQQ $QQQE making new all-time highs. "The most bullish thing the market can do is go up."

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