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Do charts work because traders follow them, or do traders follow them because they work?Plus: WTI vs. Brent crude, findi...
10/16/2026

Do charts work because traders follow them, or do traders follow them because they work?

Plus: WTI vs. Brent crude, finding new market leaders, Netflix accumulation, and the one momentum indicator I’d choose above all others.

Friday Mailbag 👇

It’s Friday Mailbag time, and Dave Keller tackles some of your best...

The S&P opened below its 50-day today... then buyers stepped in.Breadth improved. Small caps rallied. Rates fell. Consum...
10/15/2026

The S&P opened below its 50-day today... then buyers stepped in.

Breadth improved. Small caps rallied. Rates fell. Consumer stocks showed new strength.

But Tech is still a problem.

Is the pullback ending?

New CHART THIS 👇

The S&P 500 opened below its 50-day moving average before buyers st...

All four of the traditionally defensive sectors are outperforming $SPX so far in October. ✅ Utilities $XLU ✅ Health Ca...
10/15/2026

All four of the traditionally defensive sectors are outperforming $SPX so far in October.
✅ Utilities $XLU
✅ Health Care $XLV
✅ Consumer Staples $XLP
✅ Real Estate $XLRE

One of my favorite takeaways from years in the Fidelity Chart Room: the value of tracking offense vs. defense. If inves...
10/15/2026

One of my favorite takeaways from years in the Fidelity Chart Room: the value of tracking offense vs. defense. If investors are rotating from Consumer Discretionary (things you want) into Consumer Staples (things you need), that often implies a lack of optimism about economic growth. $XLY $RSPD $XLP $RSPS

How bullish do I want to be when $NVDA can't hold its 50-day moving average?
10/15/2026

How bullish do I want to be when $NVDA can't hold its 50-day moving average?

The difference between the equal weight $SPX and equal weight $QQQ is especially striking in October. Old economy $RSP ...
10/15/2026

The difference between the equal weight $SPX and equal weight $QQQ is especially striking in October. Old economy $RSP > new economy $QQQE

Tech stocks got crushed today, but the S&P is still holding its 50-day.The bigger story? Money is rotating FAST.📈 Nvidia...
10/14/2026

Tech stocks got crushed today, but the S&P is still holding its 50-day.

The bigger story? Money is rotating FAST.

📈 Nvidia, Broadcom, Micron
📉 Healthcare, Staples
⚠️ Breadth weakening

Is this just a pullback or something bigger?

New CHART THIS 👇

Technology stocks were hammered as the Nasdaq fell nearly 2%, but t...

Hard to be too bullish when a lack of new 52-week highs accentuates the lack of emerging leadership. New highs have out...
10/14/2026

Hard to be too bullish when a lack of new 52-week highs accentuates the lack of emerging leadership. New highs have outnumbered new lows on the NYSE every trading day in September and so far in October.

"All large losses begin as small losses."I see you there, $SPX. Threatening the 21-day exponential moving average. A b...
10/14/2026

"All large losses begin as small losses."
I see you there, $SPX. Threatening the 21-day exponential moving average. A break of the 21-day EMA, while not a major long-term bearish signal, is always what comes before more major breakdowns of support.

How bullish do I want to be if Micron $MU can't hold above crucial "big round number" support at $1000?
10/14/2026

How bullish do I want to be if Micron $MU can't hold above crucial "big round number" support at $1000?

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