Excel Home Loans

Excel Home Loans Jeremy Scott Sergent
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Fed Chair choice explained: Your homeownership outlook.President Trump just nominated Kevin Warsh to take over the Feder...
02/02/2026

Fed Chair choice explained: Your homeownership outlook.

President Trump just nominated Kevin Warsh to take over the Federal Reserve when Jerome Powell’s term ends in May.

The markets reacted instantly.

Why?

Because Warsh is a bit of a wildcard. He used to be the guy on Wall Street arguing for higher rates. He was a classic "hawk."

But lately, he has changed his tune.

He is signaling support for cutting rates, aligning himself with the push for easier money. And that is exactly what investors started betting on the moment the news broke.

Gold plunged. Stocks moved up. The dollar rose.

For us here in Arizona, the big question is simple. Does this help you buy a house?

If Warsh follows through on this new direction, we are looking at a Federal Reserve that is more willing to lower rates than previously expected. That directly impacts mortgage interest costs.

It could mean the difference between waiting another year or locking in a monthly payment that actually fits your budget.

At Excel Home Loans, we track these headlines so you don't have to stress over them. We believe your mortgage experience should be custom tailored to your life, not just whatever the market throws at you today.

Confirmation hearings are coming up. It might get noisy in Washington.

But the possibility of a more rate-friendly Fed Chair is something every prospective homeowner should be watching.

Do you think a new Chair will actually bring rates down fast enough?

Drop a comment with your take.
Hit Like and Share if you are ready to see those rates drop!

Let's talk about your homeownership goals.

50-year mortgages sound crazy... until you're priced out.I'll admit it.When I first heard about the 50-year mortgage pro...
11/11/2025

50-year mortgages sound crazy... until you're priced out.

I'll admit it.

When I first heard about the 50-year mortgage proposal, my reaction was immediate skepticism. More years means more interest paid over time, right? Simple math. Bad deal for consumers dressed up as affordability.

But then I started thinking about my actual clients, and something shifted.

Most people don't stay in their first home for 30 years. They stay 5-7 years, then upgrade or relocate for work. That first home isn't the forever house... it's a stepping stone. And in a traditional 30-year mortgage, interest is front-loaded anyway. A 50-year term stretches that interest-heavy period even longer, which sounds terrible until you realize market appreciation does most of the wealth-building work in those early years regardless of your loan term.

Home values historically appreciate around 4% annually. That equity growth happens whether you're on a 30-year or 50-year mortgage.

The average first-time homebuyer is now 40 years old.

Think about that. People are as close to retirement as they are to college graduation before they can afford their first home. I see credit-worthy buyers constantly who pay rent on time for years, have solid credit scores, manage their finances responsibly... but they're priced out by monthly payment thresholds. Not because they're risky borrowers. Because the math doesn't work under current terms.

A 50-year mortgage in major metros would cost significantly less per month than average rent.

These buyers could finally stop building equity for a landlord and start building it for themselves.

Yes, there are deeper problems here. Institutional investors buying up single-family homes. Supply constraints. Zoning nightmares. I personally hate seeing hedge funds compete against families for homes that should be in human hands, not corporate portfolios. Homes belong with people, not balance sheets.

But that's the reality today, and it's not changing overnight.

While we debate root causes, real people are locked out of homeownership entirely. Would I prefer we fix housing supply and rein in institutional buyers? Absolutely. But I'm not willing to tell credit-worthy buyers to keep renting while we wait for perfect policy solutions.

Sometimes access matters more than optimization.

Right now, we need more people to have a shot at that first stepping stone. Even if the terms aren't ideal. Even if it means more interest over a lifetime they probably won't see anyway because they'll move up in 7 years.

What's your take on this? Would a 50-year option help you or someone you know finally stop renting and start building equity? Comment below if this changes how you think about mortgage terms... or if you still think I'm wrong.

One number decides if this move pays off.And most people never calculate it.I've watched families bleed thousands in cre...
10/14/2025

One number decides if this move pays off.

And most people never calculate it.

I've watched families bleed thousands in credit card interest because they were afraid to do the math on a cash-out refi. They stay frozen while the debt compounds.

Here's what I calculate for every client.

Your break-even month.

The month when what you stop paying in card interest passes what you spent on the refi. After that, you're just saving money.

Two steps:

Add up your total refi costs... closing, appraisal, all of it.

Then calculate your monthly savings. That's the card interest you eliminate minus any increase in your mortgage payment.

Divide cost by monthly savings.

Just an Example: $8,000 in costs, $450 saved each month.

18 months to break even.

After month 18, that $450 goes toward building your life instead of servicing debt. Savings. Investments. The trip you've been putting off.

The catch: this only works if those cards stay at zero. I've seen people refinance and then rack up new balances within a year. You're back where you started, just with a higher mortgage.

What I tell clients: set up an automatic transfer to savings on the same day your mortgage payment goes out. You're replacing one habit with another, except this one builds something.

I've done this for 23 years now.

The relief people feel is immediate. They sleep better, stop avoiding their bank statements, start thinking about what they want instead of just keeping their head above water.

If you've been stuck weighing this move, take five minutes this week. Run your break-even number.

You'll know whether this makes sense for your situation.

Run the numbers with me. If your break-even is under 24 months, this conversation could save you thousands.

DM me "break-even" and let's talk today.

One in three homes went to investors.I saw the Q2 2025 numbers last week and honestly... it's been bothering me ever sin...
10/13/2025

One in three homes went to investors.

I saw the Q2 2025 numbers last week and honestly... it's been bothering me ever since. 33% of all purchases went to investors, up from 27% the quarter before. First-time buyers? Down to 24%. The lowest we've ever recorded in history.

And here's what gets me.

Investors aren't outbidding families in some bidding war frenzy. They're just showing up while everyone else waits for conditions that aren't coming. I've been doing this for 15+ years and I keep watching the same pattern: buyers wait for lower rates, then better prices, then more inventory, then the perfect alignment of stars... and while they're waiting, the options disappear.

Everyone's expecting some 2008-style crash to reset everything.

Not happening.

The guardrails exist now. Underwriting standards are tight, appraisals are legitimate, the lending framework is completely different. Investors understand the fundamentals are sound - that's exactly why they're buying while families sit frozen.

Here's what actually exists right now → prices are still reasonable, sellers are offering real concessions, and the financing tools are sitting there unused. FHA needs 3.5% down. VA and USDA offer 100% financing for eligible buyers. Down payment assistance programs are active across the country.

Everything you need to compete is already available.

But 73% of Americans say it's a bad time to buy, so they wait. And wait. And I'm watching families price themselves out not because they can't afford it, but because they're waiting for "perfect" while investors eat up inventory.

What worries me isn't just missing out on one house.

It's losing the choice entirely.

When investors control 40%, 50% of the market in the next couple years, families won't be choosing between renting and buying anymore. They'll be renting because buying isn't an option. That fundamental choice disappears, and once it's gone... it doesn't come back easily.

I'll always advocate for buyers who want to build something for their families. But I can't want it more than you do. The fence-sitting has a real cost, and that bill is coming due faster than people realize.

Investors are moving while families are watching.

That's going to define ownership for the next decade.

If you've been waiting for the "right time," let's at least talk about what your actual options look like right now. FHA, VA, USDA, down payment assistance - we can map out what works for your specific situation, because staying on the sidelines is a decision too, just not the one most people think they're making.

What's really holding you back from at least exploring your options? Comment below if you're willing to share, I genuinely want to understand what you're seeing and thinking out there. And if this resonated, hit like so more people see what's actually happening in the market right now.One in three homes went to investors. And where were you?

Are you in the "Complainer Camp" while still sitting on the fence?

Or were you one of the folks who sees the opportunity and are moving forward?

33% of all Q2 2025 purchases.

First-time buyers dropped to 24%.

Lowest. Ever. Recorded.

And here's the part nobody wants to hear... this isn't investors outbidding families.

Families are refusing to compete at all.

I call them Goldilocks buyers. Waiting for rates to drop more, prices to soften, inventory to improve. Everything perfect.

Meanwhile, investors just keep buying.

Because they know something.

The 2008-style collapse? It can't happen. We have actual guardrails now, underwriting standards that work. Assets aren't being inflated by rogue appraisers.

The fundamentals are sound.

So regular buyers sit. And investors stack.

What kills me is this:

The tools already exist.

FHA loans → 3.5% down
VA loans → 100% financing for veterans
USDA → 100% for eligible properties
Down payment assistance → available nationwide

The financing is there. Market conditions are actually favorable right now, sellers are offering concessions.

But 73% of Americans say it's a bad time to buy.

They're waiting for something that just isn't coming.

When investors control even more of the market in 2026 and 2027... buyers who waited won't just miss an opportunity.

They'll lose the choice itself.

That's what keeps me up. Not deals, not transactions. The fundamental ability for regular families to choose homeownership.

I've been in this 15+ years. I'll always advocate for real buyers who want a home for their family.

But I can't want it more than you do.

The window is closing while people test the temperature.

Ready to actually compete? Let's talk FHA, VA, USDA, down payment assistance. We'll find your path in.

Like and share if you believe homeownership should be a choice for families, not just a game for investors.

Are you feeling weighed down by high-interest credit card debt? You’re not alone—Americans are carrying record amounts r...
09/23/2025

Are you feeling weighed down by high-interest credit card debt?

You’re not alone—Americans are carrying record amounts right now. But here’s the good news: with interest rates at historic lows, your home equity could be the key to your financial freedom.

Imagine lower monthly payments, less stress, and more money back in your pocket. You’ve worked hard for your home—now let it work for you.

Let’s talk about how refinancing can help you take charge of your finances and create a brighter future. Ready to get started?

What's your move when everyone else is waiting?Rates dropped to 6.25% this week. And even better for many refinance clie...
09/18/2025

What's your move when everyone else is waiting?

Rates dropped to 6.25% this week. And even better for many refinance clients!

You've been watching. Hoping they'd fall further.

But here's what's happening while you wait:

Your competition is getting preapproved right now.

→ The Fed cut the rate already!
→ Mortgage spreads finally improved after being stuck high for months
→ Industry experts see rates potentially hitting sub-6% by early 2025

The question isn't whether rates will drop more.

It's whether you'll be ready when they do.

Getting preapproved now means when that perfect rate hits, you're not stuck in paperwork hell.

You're making offers while others are still calling lenders.

I've guided families through these cycles before. The prepared ones always win.

What's stopping you from getting ahead of this?

Like & share if you know someone who's been sitting on the fence about buying or refinancing.

The mortgage broker who told you "no" six months ago?They're calling people back.I've been doing mortgages for over 20 y...
08/15/2025

The mortgage broker who told you "no" six months ago?

They're calling people back.

I've been doing mortgages for over 20 years. Watched entire industries go from automatic rejection to getting approved easily.

Cannabis workers? Used to be impossible.

Didn't matter if they had 800 credit scores, six-figure incomes, or five years of steady employment. The industry alone killed their applications instantly.

Now those same professionals walk into my office and qualify like anyone else. What changed?

Banks got desperate for business.

Banks don't make money sitting on cash. When loan volume drops, guidelines adapt fast. Really fast.

The gig economy followed the exact same pattern. Uber drivers getting denied left and right just three years ago... now nearly half of all lenders actively court gig workers for qualification.

DoorDash income counts. Freelance writing counts. Even properly documented tip income can push you over the qualification line.

The documentation game hasn't gotten easier though. You still need consistent earnings history, proper record keeping, tax returns that match your claims.

But doors that were welded shut are swinging wide open.

Remote workers who couldn't prove "stable employment" two years ago are getting approved with work-from-home documentation. Content creators are using YouTube revenue for qualification. Small business owners are finding paths that simply didn't exist in 2022.

I'm structuring deals now that would have been fantasy conversations just five years back.

Your side hustle might be doing more than keeping you afloat.

It might be your ticket to buying a house.

Think you don't qualify because of your income type? Send me a DM with your situation. I'll tell you straight up what's possible and what isn't.

No sales pitch, just honest answers from someone who's seen it all change.

Hey you!While you're waiting for the Fed to announce rate cuts...Major banks already moved $847 billion in loan position...
08/14/2025

Hey you!

While you're waiting for the Fed to announce rate cuts...

Major banks already moved $847 billion in loan positions.

Most borrowers? Still refreshing news feeds.

Institutions like Nomura and UBS already moved. They're trading on probability, not headlines.

Smart individual borrowers can mirror this approach.

What I'm tracking in mortgage markets:

→ Wholesale lenders adjusting pricing models early
→ Portfolio managers hedging before policy shifts
→ Credit lines getting restructured ahead of the rush

Treasury Secretary Bessent called for larger cuts starting September. Markets now price in 71% chance of 50-basis-point reduction by October.

The disconnect is real.

Retail borrowers wait for official announcements while institutions position based on expectations.

That's where experienced mortgage guidance becomes valuable. We monitor institutional movements, not just Fed speeches.

Custom positioning strategies.
Market-based timing.

Not generic rate-chasing.

The borrowers who understand this gap can capitalize on timing advantages before opportunities become mainstream knowledge.

Working with loan officers who track these patterns gives you access to institutional-level market intelligence.

Your mortgage strategy should reflect market probabilities... not just wait for policy confirmations.

Don't be the borrower who waits for headlines while institutions lock in advantages.

Comment 'POSITION' if you want to discuss how to mirror institutional timing strategies → I'll share specific monitoring techniques that most loan officers don't track.

90,000 veterans are about to lose their homes.And half don't know the VA will cover 25% of their missed payments.⚡The VA...
08/01/2025

90,000 veterans are about to lose their homes.

And half don't know the VA will cover 25% of their missed payments.



The VA rolled out this program months ago.

Zero fanfare.
No mass communication.

Just silence while families pack boxes.

You served. You earned this!

When you need it most → crickets.

I watch veteran families get foreclosure notices when the solution sits right there, unused.

These aren't numbers on a spreadsheet.

These are kids asking why they have to move again.



The 25% assistance program works with any existing VA loan.

Behind on payments?
This keeps your family housed.

People think VA loans are just zero down.

Wrong.

They're the most protective loans veterans can get. Multiple safety nets built right in.

But you can't use what you don't know exists.



Every veteran should know their options before the sheriff shows up.

🚨 SHARE THIS POST 🚨

Every share could save a veteran family's home. Tag a veteran who needs to see this.

DM me if you're behind on VA loan payments → I'll help you navigate the 25% assistance program.

What other VA benefits are we keeping secret from the people who earned them?




Finally, some good news for our veterans! 🇺🇸The VA just made some big changes that I think will help a lot of veteran fa...
07/31/2025

Finally, some good news for our veterans! 🇺🇸

The VA just made some big changes that I think will help a lot of veteran families.

Here at Excel Home Loans, I've talked to so many veterans who could get VA loans but were scared to use them. They worried about what would happen if they lost their job or got hurt and couldn't make payments.

Those worries made sense. The VA didn't have great options to help.

Now they do:
🏠 If you fall behind, the VA can help with some of your payments
🏠 You get real chances to work things out before anyone talks foreclosure
🏠 You can pay your real estate agent directly (no more weird workarounds)
🏠 More help for veterans who are struggling with housing

The best part? When you know there's help if you need it, you're more likely to actually buy that house.

Veterans: You earned these benefits through your service. Now you can use them without being scared.

Got questions about how this affects your plans? Ask away!

Two Fed governors just broke 30 years of tradition.Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman did something that hasn't happ...
07/31/2025

Two Fed governors just broke 30 years of tradition.

Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman did something that hasn't happened since 1993. They publicly disagreed with their colleagues, pushing for a quarter-point rate cut while the majority held steady at 4.25-4.5%.

This split reveals something most homebuyers are ignoring.

When Fed officials can't agree on rate direction, it creates confusion in the market. Powell keeps emphasizing they're watching inflation data... which still sits above their 2% target. Meanwhile, Trump continues pushing for lower rates.

But here's where this gets real for your home purchase.

Other buyers are paralyzed by these mixed signals. They're waiting for clarity that may never come. Some think rates will drop soon because of the dissent. Others think the majority holding steady means rates stay high.

Everyone's frozen.

Which means opportunity.

While everyone else debates Fed tea leaves, informed buyers recognize that even Fed governors can't predict the future. Waller and Bowman wanted cuts. The majority disagreed.

Nobody knows what's coming next.

Not even the people making the decisions.

So what do you do?

Get pre-approved. Know your numbers. Work with someone who plans for different outcomes instead of promising you rates will definitely go up or down.

This disagreement proves something: even the Fed doesn't have it figured out.

Perfect timing is a myth.

Are you still waiting for the "right" time?

Or are you ready to move while everyone else sits on the sidelines?

🏘️ Look Out for Mortgage Fraud! 💰Rregulators just issued urgent fraud warnings.The US Treasury and international financi...
07/24/2025

🏘️ Look Out for Mortgage Fraud! 💰

Rregulators just issued urgent fraud warnings.

The US Treasury and international financial authorities are telling banks to update their security practices immediately because AI can now bypass traditional identity verification. Smart homebuyers are asking their lenders what protections they have in place before sharing sensitive financial information.

AI voice cloning can now fool bank voiceprint systems completely.

Deepfake video calls just stole $25 million from a company in Hong Kong. Traditional facial recognition? Becoming unreliable fast. OpenAI's CEO warned this is an "impending fraud crisis."

Think about your mortgage application for a second. You're handing over social security numbers, bank statements, tax returns, employment verification... everything a fraudster dreams about.

That information in the wrong hands?

Life-changing damage.

Some lenders are scrambling to catch up. Others saw this coming and already implemented multi-layer verification systems that go beyond what current AI can replicate.

We've been working with clients who specifically chose Excel Home Loans because we updated our verification protocols months ago. Multiple authentication methods, secure document portals, encryption at every step of your loan process.

Your mortgage might be the largest financial transaction of your life.

Shouldn't fraud protection be part of that conversation from day one?

Like this if you think security should be a top priority when choosing your lender... and comment what questions you're planning to ask about fraud protection during your next mortgage conversation.

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