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01/06/2026

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01/06/2026

🚗📈 Ford (F) Options $wing Trade Setup

Bias: Bullish
Strategy: Swing Trade (Calls)
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (80%)
Timeframe: 5–7 Trading Days

✅ Trade Plan (Step-By-Step)

🎯 Entry (Patience Required)

Wait for F to pull back into $13.38 – $13.40

This area aligns with VWAP + 200 SMA (strong support)

Ideal Entry: $13.38

⚠️ If price stays above $13.42 → DO NOT CHASE

📋 Options Contract

Strike: $13.50 Calls

Expiration: Jan 16, 2026

Target Premium: ~$0.16 - .18

Delta: 0.47 (nice balance of movement + stability)

Liquidity: Excellent (10K+ Open Interest)

🛑 Risk Management (Defined Risk)

Stop Zone: $13.15 – $13.20

Breakdown below $13.20 = trade invalid

📊 Position Size: FULL

🎯 Profit Targets

Target 1: $13.60 – $13.75 → Sell 50%

Target 2: $13.90 – $14.00 → Sell remaining 50%

📊 Why This Trade Works

✔️ Reclaimed 200 SMA (bullish structure shift)
✔️ VWAP + EMA 20 acting as support
✔️ Momentum confirmed (MACD positive, RSI ~66)
✔️ Strong institutional accumulation
✔️ Broader market = Risk-On Environment

🧠 Trade Notes

This is a pullback entry, not a breakout chase

Let price come to you

Manage risk first, profits second

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01/05/2026

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01/05/2026

Looking to swing F long — waiting for a clean pullback into the $13.23–$13.26 support cluster before buying calls. Contract: $13.50C exp 01/16 (maxcost ≈ $18). Stop sits at $12.75–$12.81; first profit zone $13.65–$13.75. No chasing over $13.40 — if it gaps > +2% or sector diverges, skip the trade.

Key details:

Contract: 13.5 Call exp. 1/16/26 @ .15-.18
Timeframe: 30‑day swing; time stop = 30 days
Contingencies: Abort if price stays above $13.30 or gap > +2%; abort if auto‑sector diverges
Manual checks: 9:00 AM pre‑market volume, recall/regulatory headlines, SPY/auto sector alignment

Step‑by‑step

Trigger: Wait for price to pull back down into $13.23–$13.26 support cluster — buy only in that zone. Do NOT chase if open/price > $13.40.
Contract: $13.50 CALL exp 2026‑01‑16 — premium ≈ $0.17–$0.18 (cost ≈ $18). Delta ≈ 0.39.
Size & Risk: 1 contract; total cost $18; max risk $18 (0.5% of account).
Stop: $12.75–$12.81 (structure-based stop below weekly low). If price hits this, the trade thesis is invalid — exit.
Targets / Exits: Take 50% at $13.65–$13.75; remaining 50% at $13.95–$14.00. Time stop: 30 days.
Wild cards / Contingencies:
If gap > +2% at open → cancel orders and wait for a clean pullback to VWAP/prev close.
If auto sector (GM/F etc.) is weak while SPY is green → abort trade.
Watch for sudden recall/NHTSA news or tariff headlines — exit immediately on high‑volume negative news.
Pre‑trade checklist (do before entering): pre‑market volume at 9:00 AM ET; verify no fresh recall headlines; ensure SPY/auto sector alignment at open.

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01/04/2026

01/03/2026

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