06/03/2026
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May delivered a sharp disconnect: global equity markets hit record highs on AI momentum and ceasefire optimism, while the underlying economic picture grew more complex.
Core PCE rose at its fastest pace since 2023. Consumer confidence fell to a record low. Real disposable income declined for the third consecutive month. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh took a hawkish tone as futures markets began pricing in potential rate increases in the second half of 2026.
Megan Horneman, our Chief Investment Officer, breaks down what moved across equities, fixed income, and commodities in May and what the signals may mean for portfolio positioning ahead.
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