09/14/2026
The 30-year fixed averaged 6.71% this week — up from 6.66% last week and 6.50% a year ago.
For three years the prevailing assumption has been that transaction volume is a function of rates, and that buyers are collectively holding their breath for a number that will unlock the market.
The data keeps not cooperating. Rates are higher than they were twelve months ago and existing-home sales are running slightly ahead of last year, with year-to-date volume up 2.4%.
Freddie Mac's chief economist put it plainly: purchase demand has stayed relatively stable, with buyers adapting to conditions rather than waiting them out.
There's a lesson in that for anyone planning a pipeline. "When rates drop" is not a strategy, and it hasn't been for a while. The people transacting right now made peace with the current number and moved.
What are you hearing from clients — still waiting, or done waiting?