Edward Jones - Financial Advisor: Ragan Gootee

Edward Jones - Financial Advisor: Ragan Gootee Edward Jones is a financial - services firm dedicated to serving the needs of individual investors. Member SIPC

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For most of 2023 so far, investors have gotten the best of both worlds as it relates to the evolving macroeconomic backd...
09/18/2023

For most of 2023 so far, investors have gotten the best of both worlds as it relates to the evolving macroeconomic backdrop – above trend economic growth supported by a resilient consumer, and still-high but steadily declining inflation. However more recently, there have been signs that this dynamic is gradually starting to change as the rally in energy prices is leaving a mark on consumer prices and spending.

In our latest weekly market wrap, we offer the following perspective on what last week's uptick in headline CPI and slowdown in retail sales may mean for the Fed and the markets.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

There's been plenty of motion to evaluate of late, but if we boil it down, there are two primary factors quarterbacking ...
09/11/2023

There's been plenty of motion to evaluate of late, but if we boil it down, there are two primary factors quarterbacking the financial markets: the labor market and inflation.

That said, in our latest Weekly Market Wrap, we highlight a few trends playing out that, while getting less fanfare at the moment, we believe offer additional signals about the state of the market.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

This past week investors digested key datapoints around the U.S. jobs market, all of which presented a unified message: ...
09/04/2023

This past week investors digested key datapoints around the U.S. jobs market, all of which presented a unified message: There are early signs of softening in the labor market ahead. While one month does not make a trend, the consistency of the data recently points to a labor market that may be coming back to earth after an extended period of elevated tightness.

We share two important implications of a potentially cooling labor market and more key takeaways in our latest Weekly Market Wrap.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

In a short and pointed speech last year, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell dashed hopes for a swift end to the Fed's r...
08/28/2023

In a short and pointed speech last year, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell dashed hopes for a swift end to the Fed's rate hikes. This year, the message was still hawkish but more balanced, highlighting data dependency and keeping options open.

In our latest Weekly Market Wrap, we share three key takeaways from the widely anticipated speech, along with our perspective on how the economic and market backdrop has evolved.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

After a steady rally from March through July, the market's mood has shifted more recently, with stocks falling last week...
08/21/2023

After a steady rally from March through July, the market's mood has shifted more recently, with stocks falling last week, continuing what has been a rather weak August so far. Enthusiasm around a resilient economy, moderating inflation and artificial intelligence is not gone, but it has been countered by global growth concerns and a leg higher in interest rates of late.

In our latest Weekly Market Wrap, we look at three key trends that have taken shape in August and what they may signal about the market's path over the remainder of the year.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

After a remarkably strong rally to start the year, markets have given back a bit in August thus far, with the S&P 500 do...
08/14/2023

After a remarkably strong rally to start the year, markets have given back a bit in August thus far, with the S&P 500 down around 3% since its recent high on July 31. Underneath the surface, however, we see the Nasdaq is down over 4.0% during this period, and the "Magnificent 7" large-cap stocks are down over 5.0%.

The parts of the market that have led the way higher are now perhaps taking a breather, which we view as a healthy development as investors digest outsized gains. Take a closer look at the rest of our key takeaways in our latest Weekly Market Wrap.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

August started with a bang as the market's summer calm was disrupted by news that Fitch downgraded the U.S. debt rating ...
08/07/2023

August started with a bang as the market's summer calm was disrupted by news that Fitch downgraded the U.S. debt rating from AAA to AA+. U.S. political brinkmanship and debt concerns are not new, but the Fitch downgrade shines the spotlight on the worsening fiscal outlook. In this week's market update, we examine whether this development alters the outlook for markets and provide our take on the jump in government bond yields and the latest jobs report.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

While the move higher in markets was sparked earlier by the enthusiasm around artificial intelligence, the markets more ...
07/31/2023

While the move higher in markets was sparked earlier by the enthusiasm around artificial intelligence, the markets more recently seem to be looking at a trifecta of better macro trends. The Fed and other global central banks may be nearing an end to rate hikes, inflation continues to gradually moderate and growth remains resilient.

After a nice move higher in markets, some bouts of volatility remain likely. However, we believe there are compelling opportunities still ahead of us, in both the equity and bond markets. Read more in our latest Weekly Market Wrap.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

Stocks continued their march higher last week, adding to 2023's impressive gain that now has the S&P 500 within 6% of th...
07/24/2023

Stocks continued their march higher last week, adding to 2023's impressive gain that now has the S&P 500 within 6% of the all-time high. The run in the markets since May has largely been powered by rising optimism around the potential for a goldilocks scenario, in which economic conditions are neither too hot to prevent inflation from falling further, nor too cold to descend into recession.

In our latest Weekly Market Wrap, we look at how recent trends in a variety of indicators stack up to prior periods leading up to and following the onset of a recession and share our take on what they might be signaling about the road ahead.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

Stocks and bonds jumped last week as investors cheered the sharp deceleration in inflation. Exactly one year from the in...
07/17/2023

Stocks and bonds jumped last week as investors cheered the sharp deceleration in inflation. Exactly one year from the inflation peak, headline CPI has been cut by more than two thirds, solidifying disinflation as the key theme for the economy and the markets this year. But with the S&P 500 already up 17% halfway through the year, is all the good news discounted? In our latest Weekly Market Wrap, we discuss how the inflation path might look like ahead and where we see opportunities in today's market.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

After a strong first two quarters of 2023, markets stumbled a bit as we entered the first week of the third quarter. Non...
07/10/2023

After a strong first two quarters of 2023, markets stumbled a bit as we entered the first week of the third quarter. Nonetheless, in our view, the resilience in the labor market and services sectors makes the case for a recession or downturn in the near-term unlikely. The key for markets will likely be the direction of inflation, which we believe can continue to moderate further. Learn more in our Weekly Market Wrap.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

Last week closed the books on the first half of 2023. Markets logged a strong performance year-to-date, though gains so ...
07/03/2023

Last week closed the books on the first half of 2023. Markets logged a strong performance year-to-date, though gains so far may have flown somewhat under the radar for some investors given the lingering scars of 2022. In our latest Weekly Market Wrap, we share perspectives on first half moves and what they signal for what may lay ahead in the second half.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

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