Psx trading&investing

Psx trading&investing there we try to learn tips and tricks of investing and trading in pakistan stock exchange

31/01/2026

Pakistan’s industries, particularly export-oriented sectors, are receiving a major boost as the Prime Minister has announced measures aimed at reducing business costs and strengthening competitiveness
As per the announcement, export financing rates have been lowered to 4.5% from 7.5%.
In addition, PM announced a PKR 4/kWh reduction in power tariffs and a PKR 4.04 per unit cut in wheeling charges, providing a powerful combination of cheaper energy for industries and financing for export-oriented businesses.
In a pro-export policy signal, the Prime Minister on Thursday announced a series of relief measures, with targeted incentives for exporters alongside broader cost relief for the industrial sector. The measures are being viewed as a positive signal for exporters and investors alike. While the initiatives are expected to ease financing conditions and reduce operational costs, detailed implementation guidelines are still awaited.
For exporters, a key measure is the 300bps reduction in the Export Refinance Scheme rate to 4.5% from 7.5%. This adjustment significantly enhances the attractiveness of export financing by lowering working capital costs, particularly in energy-intensive and value-added segments.
For the wider industrial base, the government announced a PKR 4/kWh reduction in power tariffs, along with a PKR 4.04 per unit cut in electricity wheeling charges, reducing them to PKR 8.51/unit from PKR 12.55. This provides meaningful cost relief across industries by lowering energy expenses.
Overall, the announced measures are supportive for export-oriented and energy-intensive sectors, led by Textiles, Cement, and Engineering (Steel), as lower ERS rates for exporters and reduced power costs for all industries improve margins, liquidity, and competitiveness.
Banks are expected to experience a largely net-neutral impact, as the 300bps cut in ERS rates is likely to be offset by the recent 1% reduction in the Cash Reserve Requirement (CRR), we view.

26/01/2026

*Policy rate held steady at 10.5%*

*SBP held the policy rate steady at 10.5%, opting for a pause after the previous MPS’s easing as both inflation and growth remain on track.*

• Headline inflation eased to 5.6% YoY in Dec’25, remaining comfortably within the 5–7% target band, while core inflation has stabilized at a relatively elevated level of around 7.4%, warranting a cautious policy stance.
• Economic activity is strengthening faster than expected on the back of improving high-frequency indicators and strong, domestically driven LSM growth. While the trade deficit widened due to higher imports and weaker exports, resilient remittances and benign commodity prices kept the current account deficit contained.

*Key observations since the last MPC meeting*

• Real GDP growth rose to 3.7% YoY in 1QFY26, led by industry and agriculture.
• Consumer and business confidence improved; inflation expectations eased.
• SBP FX reserves reached USD 16.1bn (Jan’16), above end-December target, supported by interbank FX purchases.
• FBR revenue growth slowed to 7.3% in December, missing the target.
• IMF slightly upgraded 2026 global growth, but flagged risks from tariffs and volatile commodity prices.

*Real sector*

• High-frequency indicators show broad-based economic momentum.
• LSM growth: 8.0% YoY in October, 10.4% YoY in November; cumulative 6.0% (July–November FY26).
• Strong domestic demand reflected in auto sales, cement dispatches, POL sales, fertilizer off-take, and machinery imports.
• Agriculture outlook positive, especially wheat, supporting commodity and services sectors.
• SBP upgraded FY26 GDP growth to 3.75–4.75%, with momentum expected to strengthen in FY27.

*External sector*

• The current account posted a USD 1.2bn deficit during July–Dec FY26, in line with expectations.
• Imports rose sharply with stronger economic activity, while worker remittances and ICT exports continued to grow; exports, especially rice, fell, though textiles remained resilient.
• The current account deficit is projected to stay within 0–1% of GDP, with FX reserves expected to exceed USD 18bn by Jun’26.

*Fiscal sector*

• FBR tax revenues rose by 9.5% in 1HFY26, far below last year’s 26% and the target, creating a PKR 329bn shortfall and requiring a sharp pickup in 2nd half of FY26 to meet the annual goal.

*Money and credit*

• Broad money (M2) growth accelerated to 16.3% by Jan 9, driven by private sector credit and government borrowing.
• Private sector credit rose by Rs578 bn in FY26 (till Jan 9), driven by textiles, trade, chemicals, and growing consumer financing.
• SBP’s reduction in the Cash Reserve Requirement for banks from 6.0% to 5.0% is expected to further boost private sector credit growth.

*Inflation outlook*

• Headline inflation eased to 5.6% YoY in December (from 6.1% in November) on lower food prices, despite higher wheat prices, while energy inflation rose due to fading base effects in electricity tariffs.
• Core inflation remained sticky at around 7.4% in 1HFY26, despite easing inflation expectations among consumers and businesses.
• The Committee expects inflation to stabilize at 5–7% in FY26–FY27, after a brief overshoot, with risks from commodity and wheat price volatility, energy adjustments, and strong domestic demand.

slowly but surely
17/01/2026

slowly but surely

16/01/2026

*ATRL:*
*Bottom-line projected to increase by 51% QoQ to PKR 20.6/share in 2QFY26*

• Attock Refinery Limited (ATRL) is scheduled to announce its 2QFY26 soon, where the company is expected to post a PAT of PKR 2,194mn (EPS: PKR 20.6), reflecting a 38% YoY decline.
• Gross profit is expected to clock in at PKR 1.4bn (gross margins of 1.9%). The YoY decline in gross profit was primarily driven by lower volumes and weak local and export margins on higher FO offtake, mostly exported, despite improving MS and HSD spreads.
• International spreads for MS and HSD rose sharply, up 143.5% YoY to USD 11.62/bbl and 61.0% YoY to USD 20.69/bbl, respectively (Bloomberg).
• MS sales declined 14.1% YoY to 125k tons, while HSD sales fell 3.2% YoY to 154k tons in 2QFY26, mainly due to forced curtailment of crude production at certain oilfields to manage elevated system pressure on the SNGPL network.
• In contrast, FO volumes surged 272.4% YoY to 90k tons in Dec’25; however, most of this was exported by ATRL at negative spreads. International HSFO prices averaged USD 333/ton during the quarter (down 23% YoY) and were further weighed down by north south transportation costs. Ex-refinery FO prices also averaged PKR 108,000/ton, below prevailing oil prices, indicating continued negative margins.
• Overall plant utilization during the quarter stood at 67%, compared to 65% in the same period last year. Other income for 2QFY26 is forecasted to decline by 26% YoY, settling at PKR 2.6bn due to lower interest rates. Alongside, the result we expect a payout of PKR 5.0/sh as per ATRL’s historic payouts.

16/01/2026

*PSO:*
*Bottom-line projected to increase by 50% YoY to PKR 35.72/share in 1HFY26*

• Pakistan State Oil Company (PSO) is scheduled to announce its 1HFY26 financial results shortly, with the company expected to report a PAT of PKR 16,768mn (EPS: PKR 35.72), marking a strong 50% YoY increase, primarily driven by inventory gains and a significant reduction in finance costs.
• On a QoQ basis, profitability in 2QFY26 is projected to improve by 2% to PKR 7,378mn. Net sales in 2QFY26 are expected to decline by 6% YoY to PKR 788,280mn, mainly due to an 11% YoY drop in MS volumes and a 16% YoY decline in HSD volumes.
• Average prices, both MS and HSD prices increased YoY by PKR 15.75/ltr to PKR 264.92/ltr and PKR 23.12/ltr to PKR 276.73/ltr, respectively.
• The topline was further pressured by the RLNG segment, where PSO’s average DES price fell to USD 8.10/mmbtu from USD 9.12/mmbtu in the same period last year.
• During the quarter, the company handled 24 cargoes, lower than 25 cargoes in the corresponding period last year and 28 cargoes in 1QFY26.
• Gross profit is expected to stand at PKR 22.8bn, translating into a gross margin of 2.9%. Meanwhile, finance costs are anticipated to decline sharply by 40% YoY to PKR 5.3bn, supported by a reduction in short-term borrowings.

•

15/01/2026

🚨 Major Policy Shift in Punjab – Big Signals for EV & Energy Stocks on PSX! ⚡
Punjab government has officially banned the purchase of petrol and diesel vehicles for all provincial government departments! Going forward, ONLY electric and hybrid vehicles will be procured under the new green transport policy.

This is a powerful long-term trigger for: 🚨 Electric vehicle assemblers
🚨 Battery manufacturers
🚨 Power & renewable energy companies
🚨 EV charging infrastructure providers

But that’s not all 👇
Approval of new petrol pumps is now linked with mandatory EV charging stations. Over 170 new petrol pumps across 31 cities have already been directed to install EV charging units before becoming operational.

This policy move clearly signals:
📈 Rising EV adoption
📈 Expansion of charging networks
📈 Structural demand for clean energy

Smart money will be tracking PSX-listed companies positioned in EVs, power generation, cables, batteries, and energy infrastructure as Punjab accelerates its green transition.

One policy. Multiple opportunities. Are you positioned? 🔍📊

learn trading
09/01/2026

learn trading

HCAR;keep an eye on ithcar remained silent in all previous rally and is consolidating at current levels for long timeacc...
02/01/2026

HCAR;
keep an eye on it
hcar remained silent in all previous rally and is consolidating at current levels for long time
accumulate and hold for long

KSE-100 (Daily Chart) – AnalysisOverall trend strong bullish hai 📈. Index ne poore saal higher highs & higher lows banay...
26/12/2025

KSE-100 (Daily Chart) – Analysis
Overall trend strong bullish hai 📈. Index ne poore saal higher highs & higher lows banaye hain, jo clear uptrend show karta hai.
🔍 Technical Breakdown
Current Level: ~172,400
Trend: Strong uptrend (no major trend break yet)
Structure:
Consolidation near highs (bullish sign)
📊 Support & Resistance
Immediate Supports:
170,000 – 169,500 (strong short-term support)
166,000 – 165,000 (previous base / demand zone)
Resistance / Targets:
174,000 – 175,000 (near-term hurdle)
178,000 – 180,000 (extension target agar breakout aata hai)
🧠 Market Psychology
High levels pe sideways move = institutions holding positions
Panic selling ya sharp rejection nazar nahi aa rahi
📝 Conclusion
Bias: Bullish
Jab tak 170k ke upar hai, trend intact hai
Break & close 174k ke upar → fast move 178k+ possible

KSE-100 (Daily chart) Chart dekh kar overall trend abhi bhi bullish lag raha hai, lekin short-term mein thori consolidat...
19/12/2025

KSE-100 (Daily chart)

Chart dekh kar overall trend abhi bhi bullish lag raha hai, lekin short-term mein thori consolidation / pullback ka chance hai.

1️⃣ Overall Trend

Index higher high – higher low structure mein hai → primary uptrend intact

Price 170k+ zone ke upar sustain kar raha hai → strength show ho rahi hai

Important Levels

Resistance:

172,500 – 174,000 (strong supply zone)

Agar is zone se strong breakout + volume aaye → next target
👉 178,000 – 180,000

Support:

168,000 – 166,500 (pehla pullback area)

Strong support: 162,000 – 160,000

Yahan tak aana healthy correction hoga, trend kharab nahi hoga

Aagay ka Possible Scenario

Scenario A (High probability):

Index range bound / sideways chale
👉 168k – 173k ke beech
(market thori thandi hogi)

Trading Perspective

Aggressive buying yahan risky

Pullback pe buying better:

Strong stocks at support

Intraday / swing traders: range trades best

04/12/2025

اسلام آباد ہائیکورٹ کا بڑا فیصلہ: ٹھٹھہ سیمنٹ (THCCL) شدید مشکلات کا شکار
عدالت نے ٹھٹھہ سیمنٹ کی پاکستان سروسز لمیٹڈ (PSEL) میں حال ہی میں کی گئی ~6.5 ارب روپے کی بھاری سرمایہ کاری کو منجمند (Freeze) کر دیا ہے۔
⚠️ کمپنی پر پڑنے والے منفی اثرات:
* 🔴 مالی دھچکا (Financial Hit): ٹھٹھہ سیمنٹ کا اربوں روپے کا سرمایہ مکمل طور پر پھنس گیا ہے۔ عدالتی حکم کے تحت کمپنی یہ حصص نہ تو فروخت کر سکتی ہے اور نہ ہی انہیں استعمال کر سکتی ہے، جس سے کمپنی کو کیش کے شدید مسائل (Liquidity Crisis) کا سامنا ہو سکتا ہے۔
* 🔴 ساکھ کو نقصان (Reputational Damage): عدالت میں دائر مقدمے میں حصص کی اس منتقلی کو "فراڈ" اور "غیر قانونی" قرار دیا گیا ہے۔ عدالت نے کمپنی کو PSEL کی مینجمنٹ میں کسی بھی قسم کی مداخلت سے سختی سے روک دیا ہے، جس سے کمپنی کی کارپوریٹ ساکھ بری طرح متاثر ہوئی ہے۔
* 🔴 سرمایہ کاروں کے لیے خطرہ: قانونی غیر یقینی اور فراڈ کے سنگین الزامات کی وجہ سے ٹھٹھہ سیمنٹ کے اسٹاک کی قیمت میں گراوٹ اور عدم استحکام کا خدشہ ہے۔

24/11/2025

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