Muhammad Waqas

Muhammad Waqas 💬 A chart speaks... but only some hear it.

👤 Muhammad Waqas | Focused on XAUUSD

📜 Every chart is a story…

📉 When it drops, I don’t panic…

📈 When it rises, I don’t chase…

🧠I use Elliott Wave Theory to understand market behavior

Gold (XAU/USD) Update 📊Gold has many different correction patterns. When a correction begins, we cannot know with certai...
18/08/2026

Gold (XAU/USD) Update 📊

Gold has many different correction patterns. When a correction begins, we cannot know with certainty which pattern the market will follow. As time passes and the chart unfolds, it becomes clearer where Gold is heading.

Sometimes the correction reaches its target perfectly, sometimes it falls short by a few points, and other times it becomes much deeper than expected.

The market is always right. It does not move according to our analysis—we must adapt our analysis to what the market is actually doing.

According to my current analysis, the correction is still incomplete, and I am expecting one more dip. Let's see what the market decides to do.

The History of GoldMost people look at a gold chart and see the last five years. This one goes back to 1792.In 1792 the ...
18/08/2026

The History of Gold
Most people look at a gold chart and see the last five years. This one goes back to 1792.
In 1792 the US dollar was defined in gold at $19.39 an ounce. By 1834 that had been adjusted to $20.67, and it stayed there for almost a century. Not because gold was worth that, but because that was the rule.
In 1934 the government repriced gold to $35 an ounce, one year after making it illegal for Americans to own it. They bought at $20.67 and revalued to $35. That is a 41 percent devaluation of the dollar in a single stroke.
Then $35 held for another 34 years. Two thirds of the world's official gold had moved to the United States during the wars, and Bretton Woods built the entire global monetary system on top of that pile. Every currency pegged to the dollar, the dollar pegged to gold.
By 1968 the peg needed a committee of central banks selling into every rally just to hold the line. It broke, and gold got a free market price for the first time.
In 1971 Nixon closed the gold window. The last physical anchor came off the world's money and has never gone back on.
What followed is the part worth studying. Gold ran to $195 by 1974, then gave back half of it by 1976. That shakeout removed most of the early crowd. The second leg took it to $875 by January 1980 on a 15 percent inflation print.
Then came the 19 year correction. From the 1980 high all the way down to $252 in 1999. Twenty years of nothing, and that is the part nobody puts on the highlight reel.
From that 1999 low, a 12 year bull cycle took gold to $1,921 in 2011. A four year correction followed, bottoming at $1,046 in 2015, a 45 percent drawdown inside a secular bull market.
We have been advancing since. Between 2022 and 2025 central banks bought close to 3,900 tonnes, and in 2025 gold passed US Treasuries as the world's largest reserve asset by value. The buyer profile in this leg is official sector, not retail. That is what makes it different from 2011.
Every major move in that 230 year history comes back to the same two things. Real interest rates, and confidence in the people issuing the currency.

Silver just reached a level 45 years in the making.The highs from 1980 and 2011 now form one of the most important price...
03/08/2026

Silver just reached a level 45 years in the making.

The highs from 1980 and 2011 now form one of the most important price zones on the chart.

If that historic resistance starts acting like support, it could offer a major clue about silver's long-term trend.

The best stocks are ones which correct the least in low volume.
14/06/2026

The best stocks are ones which correct the least in low volume.

On January 25, 2026, when XAUUSD was trading around $4,988, I shared an Elliott Wave analysis suggesting that Gold was s...
11/06/2026

On January 25, 2026, when XAUUSD was trading around $4,988, I shared an Elliott Wave analysis suggesting that Gold was still developing its final bullish wave and could rally toward the $5,600 region before entering a larger corrective phase. The analysis was based on the market structure and wave count, which indicated that the uptrend had not yet reached completion. In the weeks that followed, Gold successfully reached the projected $5,600 target, completing the expected bullish cycle. More importantly, the analysis also warned that a significant correction would likely begin once the rally was complete. After reaching the target, Gold entered the anticipated corrective phase, and that correction is still unfolding today. This forecast was shared before the move happened, demonstrating how Elliott Wave Theory can help identify major market turning points and high-probability scenarios ahead of time.

📈 From $4,988 to $5,600, and from the peak into the ongoing correction, the roadmap was already on the chart.

When Gold was trading near $3400, I posted an Elliott Wave analysis showing that the market was likely finishing a corre...
11/06/2026

When Gold was trading near $3400, I posted an Elliott Wave analysis showing that the market was likely finishing a corrective triangle and preparing for a strong upward move.

At the time, the bullish move had not yet happened. The forecast was based purely on market structure, wave count, and price behavior.

Weeks later, the rally appeared exactly where the chart suggested it could.

No indicators. No guesswork. Just a disciplined approach to reading market structure.

📈 Price leaves clues. The key is knowing how to read them.

08/06/2026
 'S PRICE ON MAY 26TH2016 — $4532017 — $2,4292018 — $7,4972019 — $8,0402020 — $8,8722021 — $39,1372022 — $29,4592023 — $...
26/05/2026

'S PRICE ON MAY 26TH

2016 — $453
2017 — $2,429
2018 — $7,497
2019 — $8,040
2020 — $8,872
2021 — $39,137
2022 — $29,459
2023 — $26,540
2024 — $69,035
2025 — $109,431
2026 — $76,643

Keep HODLing! ✊

24/05/2026

Training journey isn’t just a story — it’s our future in the making.

24/05/2026

Gold to $8,000… or $3,500 first? Chris Vermeulen breaks down the two paths and what will decide the next move.

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