08/07/2026
📈 OCR Update: The Official Cash Rate just increased 0.25% to 2.50%
What does this mean for mortgage interest rates?
Some key reasons behind the decision include:
• Inflation is above where the RBNZ wants it over the longer term.
• Imported costs and domestic price pressures continue to influence inflation.
• While the economy is beginning to recover, household spending remains cautious and businesses are still taking a measured approach.
👉 So what happens next?
Current expectations suggest the OCR could peak somewhere between 2.75% and 3.25%, depending on how inflation and the economy perform over the coming months.
👉 What does this mean for your mortgage?
✅ Floating and variable rates are likely to edge higher.
✅ Fixed rates may not increase by the full OCR increase, lenders often price in expected changes ahead of time.
✅ The bigger question is.. what happens from September onwards, as future inflation data will influence where rates go next.
👉 Do you have a fixed rate coming due in the next 6 months?
Should you break your fixed rate now and secure current rates if rates potentially go up, or wait it out?
It may make sense to review your options before refixing. Though waiting may still be the better decision, it depends on factors such as:
• any break costs
• your current interest rate
• how long you have remaining on your fixed term
• your loan structure
• what rates are available today
• whether you’re eligible for a cashback and would it offset any potential costs incurred
I encourage clients not to focus solely on the headline interest rate.
A well-structured mortgage can often save thousands over time and provide more flexibility as rates continue to change.
If your mortgage is coming up for refix, or you're wondering whether it's worth reviewing your options before then, I'd be happy to have a chat.
Monique Riley – Mortgage Advisor
Blossom Financial
📞 021 716 957
Tailored mortgage refinancing. Explore options including rates and cashback for better financial health!