Daan Crypto Trades

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Daan Crypto Trades

Fulltime Crypto Trader & Investor�

07/09/2025

Priorities 💯

07/09/2025

Pop, crackle, spool 🔊

07/09/2025

$BTC Slow weekend indeed. Price pretty much trading at the CME close price from Friday.

Doubt we'll open up with any sizeable gap this weekend by the look of things.

We still have the bigger ones open at $92K & $117K. But those don't come into play unless price trades within a 2-3% proximity. That's about my rule of hand.

Enjoy your Sunday!

07/09/2025

$BTC Is essentially flat in Q3 so far.

We're 2 out of 3 months in and there's been a lack of momentum in either direction for Bitcoin. This has been similar for most of the past few years.

Q4 is when the explosive price action truly happens. Whether it's up or down, it usually makes for a big change from the pause we tend to see in Q3.

I don't expect this year to be any different.

06/09/2025

My view on altcoins, $BTC.D and how I'm positioned 👇

I do believe that Bitcoin Dominance has topped for this cycle and that any bounces can offer good entries on (strong) alts relative to $BTC for the next few months.

But in the short term, I would not be surprised to see some bounce on the Bitcoin Dominance pair first. Whether it's because BTC tests lower levels and the market panics a bit, or if actually breaks out into price discovery itself, leaving alts behind for a bit. Both would both be fine in my opinion and each has their own advantage.

You ideally want to see BTC lead the market out of these consolidations. That usually makes for the strongest rallies and a good base to move from. And if BTC.D bounces because we see further market weakness that would only mean there's some decent discounts out there on the alts you like.

If we simply see BTC move up and alts go up at the same time, that is good for our bags but it would make this rally less sustainable and overheat quicker.

I do believe BTC.D sees lower levels in 2025 but that ALT/BTC outperformance won't be shared with every altcoin out there, as has been pretty evident this cycle. Even just these last few months it has mainly been $ETH and some other coins really putting in the work. So stick with strength.

My spot portfolio remains 50/50 BTC & Alts which I think is a healthy distribution for where we're at in the cycle and what I'm comfortable with. Past me would have been 100% alts at this point which could make sense if you got some high conviction or simply got a very high risk appetite without caring much about larger drawdowns. Figure out what works for you.

06/09/2025

$BTC Price Action Remains Undecisive.

My base case scenario remains to see a sweep of the monthly lows which should then cause some panic & fear of it losing $100K.

I do however think $103K-$105K should at least offer some support if it gets there. That's also the area which I'd be interested in for swing longs.

Current price I have no desire to put on any new short term trade with it having rejected from the $112K level & 4H 200MA/EMA consistently.

So I'd either want to see strength (Above $115K) or that monthly low sweep into a retake of $107K & $112K after. The latter would be the most bullish scenario for a longer 1-2 month rally into October/November in my opinion.

I'm fine either way as I do still hold my spot exposure but if I could stack a decent swing long on top of that into the end of the year, that'd of course be nice.

For now I've been happy to not actively position for more than a few scalps here and there the past two weeks. Price action hasn't been great on those trying to pre-position for any larger move.

06/09/2025

$BTC Has traded at a consistent spot premium over the past few weeks.

The last time it got overheated shortly was during that all time high sweep on the 14th of August.

Generally these spikes in green, where there's a perpetual premium, have been good area's to take profit in the short term. As can be seen on the chart.

06/09/2025

$BTC Weekend time.

Not expecting much besides some chop around the CME close price.

We saw a lot of volatility on Friday after the job numbers & whether $MSTR got included into the S&P or not (it didn't).

Would expect price to be a bit slower from here on out until next week's CPI on the 11th.

05/09/2025

$BTC Levels to watch in the short term 👇

Not much action the past few weeks.

Currently trading right below the 4H 200MA/EMA. Those will have to be broken for this to turn around in the short term.

Horizontal levels $112K & ~$116K are important to watch as well.

Market still very undecisive and early into the month which usually causes this choppy price action.

05/09/2025

Down 20 lbs now 🥳

Probably a good weight to maintain and work on building more muscle mass + dropping body fat.

Improved diet & exercise and mainly just controlling my portion sizes. Plus more fruit and veggies.

05/09/2025

Family outing are the best!

05/09/2025

$BTC vs $GOLD

Bitcoin has still been stuck in this local range relative to gold. The ~37 level has been acting as resistance ever since the 2021 highs.

Generally, Gold leading causes Bitcoin to follow some time later this cycle. So the fact that gold is making new all time highs bodes well for Bitcoin in the mid term.

But for this to truly breakout and BTC to accelerate, it needs to break that resistance, "decouple" from Gold and start outperforming againn.

Adres

Amsterdam

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https://t.me/Daan_Crypto_Updates

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