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Great Trader - Investment & Trading, Shah Alam (2026)

02/10/2025

Technical Analysis of AMD Stock

Here is a technical analysis of AMD stock, designed to be informative and engaging for a social media audience.

The Big Picture (Weekly & Daily Charts)
Looking at the 1-Week (1W) and 1-Day (1D) charts, AMD has demonstrated a strong bullish trend over the past year.

* Long-Term Trend: From a low point around $80 in early 2025 (on the 1W chart), the stock surged, peaking near the $210 mark before a significant correction. This run shows massive underlying strength.

* Recent Momentum (1D Chart): The daily chart confirms a sharp move upwards from the April low, consolidating in the $150–$185 range since July. The current price of $164.01 sits near the middle of this recent range. The overall daily chart shows the price has maintained its structure above previous swing lows, which is a bullish sign.

Short-Term Action (4-Hour Chart)

The 4-Hour (4h) chart provides a closer look at the very recent price action, showing a consolidation phase.

* Consolidation: Since late August/early September, the stock has been moving sideways. The price action is characterized by higher lows and what appears to be a ceiling (resistance) slightly above $170.

* Current State: The stock is trading at $164.01 and seems to be battling in the middle of this tight range. This is a common pattern where traders are deciding on the next move.

* Key Support Level: A critical support level to watch on this short-term chart is around the $150 to $155 area. If the price falls below this, the short-term outlook could turn bearish.

🔑 Key Levels to Watch

Based on the charts, here are the levels traders are likely watching:

* Major Resistance (Breakout Trigger): $185–$190. A definitive move and close above this level would signal a re-test of the all-time highs and likely attract a new wave of bullish momentum.

* Immediate Resistance: $170–$175. Breaking this on the 4h chart would signal an end to the current short-term sideways movement.

* Crucial Support: $150–$155. Holding this level is essential for the long-term bullish narrative. A break below this could see the stock drop towards the $130 or even $110 levels.

📈 Potential Scenarios

* Bullish Scenario (Breakout): AMD breaks above $175, confirming bullish sentiment within the current consolidation. The target would be the $185–$190 level, which is the gateway to new highs.

* Neutral Scenario (Continuation): The stock continues to oscillate between $155 and $170 as it digests its recent gains. This "coiling" could lead to a massive move later.

* Bearish Scenario (Breakdown): The price drops below the crucial $150–$155 support area. This would suggest the strong momentum has stalled and a deeper correction is underway.

Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis based solely on the provided charts for educational purposes. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and risk assessment before making any investment decisions.

What do YOU think? Is AMD ready for another run to the high $180s, or is a deeper correction coming? Let me know in the comments! 👇

29/09/2025

Stock Analysis: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (TSM)

🎯 TSM: Is the AI Chip Leader Overheating?

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSM), the world's leading chip foundry, has been on an incredible run, fueled by the massive demand for AI chips from clients like Nvidia and Apple.

📈 Short Analysis & Key Levels to Watch:

Bullish Trend: The stock is in a strong long-term uptrend, with momentum indicators showing significant returns (over 60% in the last 12 months).

Overbought Caution: However, after the recent climb near its 52-week high of $286.00, technical indicators like the RSI and Stochastics suggest TSM is currently in overbought territory. This means a period of consolidation or a pullback may be due.

Key Resistance (Watch for a Breakout): The immediate high and next major resistance is near $286. A strong break above this could signal the next leg up.

Key Support (Watch for a Dip-Buy Opportunity): The main support level from accumulated volume is around $260.44. If the stock pulls back to this area, it could present an attractive entry point before the next push higher.

💡 Verdict: The underlying business is strong with a "Strong Buy" analyst consensus, thanks to its AI dominance. Short-term traders should be mindful of the overbought conditions, while long-term investors can look for consolidation or dips to key support levels.

Disclaimer: This is for educational discussion only and not financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) before investing.

29/09/2025

🚀 Alibaba (BABA) Takes Flight: Is the AI Rally Sustainable? 📈
The BABA chart is showing a huge breakout! After years of regulatory pressure, the stock is seeing its best rally in years, driven by a massive pivot to Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Cloud computing.

What the Chart (4H Timeframe) Tells Us:

Massive Momentum: The stock has seen monumental gains, soaring from its lows to reach its highest level in nearly four years. Alibaba's US-listed shares have more than doubled in 2025.

Recent Action: The biggest recent surge was fueled by Alibaba's announced plan to significantly increase spending on AI infrastructure and its new partnership with Nvidia. The stock gained approximately 33% in the last 30 days alone.

Overbought Risk: After such a sharp, quick move, the stock is showing signs of high momentum, which often leads to short-term pullbacks or consolidation.

Key Levels to Watch:

Critical Support: Watch the $168 - $170 zone. Holding this level is crucial to maintaining the short-term bullish structure.

Immediate Resistance: The recent 52-week high sits just above $180. Breaking this level could open the door for a move toward the new analyst target of $230.

The Big Picture:

AI Pivot is King: The primary driver is a huge, credible commitment to AI and Cloud, with the company pledging to spend over $53 billion on AI infrastructure in the next three years.

Analyst Confidence: Wall Street sentiment is turning bullish, with a consensus "Strong Buy" rating and price targets climbing as high as $230.

🤔 YOUR THOUGHTS: After years of challenges, is this the start of a multi-year recovery for BABA, or is the AI hype moving too fast? Drop your opinion below! 👇

Disclaimer: This is a market analysis, not investment advice. Always do your own due diligence (DYODD) before investing.

29/09/2025

Conclusion and Outlook
Tata Motors is currently in a neutral consolidation phase following a successful trend reversal.

Short-Term Outlook: Neutral to Cautious. The stock is likely to continue trading within the ₹650 - ₹700 channel until a strong fundamental development occurs.

Key Strategy Points:

Bullish Case: Look for a buying opportunity if the price bounces strongly off the ₹650 - ₹660 support zone, or if it breaks and holds above ₹730.

Bearish Case: The outlook turns negative if the price closes decisively below ₹650, which would signal a breakdown of the recovery trend and the potential for a deeper decline.

29/09/2025

Technical Analysis: Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
The daily chart for Amazon demonstrates a healthy and orderly trend, though it is currently undergoing a sharp short-term selling pressure.

1. Medium-Term Trend Overview

* Primary Trend: Since May, AMZN has been in a clear, robust uptrend, climbing from approximately the $160 level to a recent peak of $236 in September.

* Structure: This ascent is characterized by a stable pattern of "climb, consolidate, and climb again" (higher highs and higher lows), indicating healthy market structure and sustained buying interest across its core businesses (AWS and e-commerce).

2. Analysis of Recent Price Action (Post-Peak)

* Resistance Peak: The price hit its most recent strong resistance point at approximately $236 (early September).

* Current Pullback: Following the peak, the stock entered a steep pullback phase. The last closing price shown is $219.78, representing a notable drop from its high.

* Driver of Decline: This sharp decline is likely attributed to widespread profit-taking after a strong multi-month rally, compounded by general weakness in the broader technology sector toward the end of September.

3. Conclusion and Forecast
AMZN is currently at a critical testing point within its broader uptrend.
* Short-Term Scenario: If the price can successfully hold the $218 - $220 immediate support, it is expected to enter a sideways consolidation phase, building energy for a potential re-test of the $236 resistance.
* Medium-Term (Bullish): The long-term fundamental story for Amazon remains intact. As long as the stock stays above the major support level of $208, it is likely to resume its ascent, driven by strong underlying growth in its high-margin AWS segment.
Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis based solely on chart patterns and price action. Always factor in upcoming earnings reports, macroeconomic developments, and your personal risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
Would you like to compare the technical levels of AMZN with a major peer like Microsoft (MSFT), or would you prefer to explore the fundamental factors driving Amazon's growth?

29/09/2025

Stock Analysis of Oracle Corporation (ORCL) Based on Chart and latest market information:

1. Chart Analysis (Short- to Medium-Term)
* Long-Term/Medium-Term Uptrend: The chart shows that Oracle (ORCL) has been in a strong uptrend from April (around $125) to August (around $250).
* Volatility and Sudden Spike (September): There was a very sudden price surge in early September 2025, jumping from around $225 to almost $325 in a short period. This is likely linked to news or announcements regarding earnings/Cloud/AI developments.
* Recent Price Decline (Post-Spike): After peaking around $325, the stock price entered a correction phase and is currently at $283.46, recording a decline of -2.70% ($7.87) on the last trading day shown.
* Chart Conclusion: Overall, the stock shows strong upward momentum over the past 6 months but is undergoing a significant price correction/decline after the recent major spike. The price of $283.46 is now below the recent high.

2. Fundamental Analysis & Market Sentiment (Based on Latest Data)
* Analyst Ratings: The consensus among market analysts is generally "Moderate Buy" or "Buy."
* Price Target (12 Months):
* Average Price Target: Approximately $304.71 to $337.62.
* Highest Price Target: Up to $410.00.
* Lowest Price Target: Approximately $130.00 to $175.00.
* The average price target suggests potential upside from the current price of $283.46.
* Financial Performance & Growth:
* The company reports strong growth, particularly in Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) and Cloud Application (SaaS) services. Cloud revenue growth (IaaS + SaaS) was 27% in Q4 FY2025.
* Oracle has a high level of Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO), reflecting large, long-term contracts (reported to have increased by 41% to $138 billion in Q4 FY2025). This is seen as a driver for stable future revenue, especially in the AI and Cloud sectors.
* Future earnings growth forecasts are positive.
* Financial Ratios:
* Market Cap: Approximately $805 Billion (A mega-cap company).
* P/E Ratio (Trailing Twelve Months - TTM): Very high, around 65.58 to 67.44, indicating the stock is richly valued relative to current earnings, which is typical for growth-oriented tech companies.
* Dividend Yield: Low, about 0.71%, indicating the company's focus is more on reinvestment for growth.
* Latest Relevant News (September 2025):
* News regarding financial results announcements (e.g., Q1 FY26 on September 9th) often acts as a catalyst for large price movements (the price surge in early September may be linked to optimistic earnings results or guidance).
* The company continues to emphasize its primary role in AI (Artificial Intelligence) and Cloud initiatives like the Stargate Project and rapid growth in OCI.
* There have been changes in top management with the appointment of two Chief Executive Officers (CEOs) and a new Executive Vice Chair of the Board of Directors.

Important Disclaimer
This analysis is based on available data and charts up to the reference date. Stock prices constantly fluctuate. Before making any investment decisions, you are advised to:

* Conduct Further Research (Due Diligence): Assess your risk tolerance and investment objectives.
* Consult with an Expert: Seek advice from a professional financial advisor.
* Monitor the Latest Developments: Especially news regarding earnings, major contracts (particularly in Cloud and AI), and the global technology market environment.