25/05/2026
There’s a popular narrative going around that SIP inflows have simply given FIIs an easy exit.
It sounds neat, but it’s largely misleading. FIIs don’t exit markets because there is someone to buy, they exit because valuations are stretched, better risk reward opportunities exist elsewhere, and global liquidity conditions shift.
In 2024, India checked at least two of these boxes, which is not debatable.
SIP flows did not enable these exits, they only absorbed the impact. Without steady domestic inflows, markets don’t correct gracefully, they break. A 15 to 20% drawdown can easily become 30 to 35% when liquidity disappears. SIPs acted as shock absorbers, nothing more.
What most of these narratives ignore is the larger structural gap. India is still not a dominant export economy and does not own enough global intellectual property, with a significant part of its edge still coming from cost arbitrage rather than innovation. That works, but only to a point, and makes us more vulnerable when global capital reallocates. Add to this external shocks like the Middle East crisis, which put pressure on crude and in turn weakened the rupee.
Currency depreciation, FII outflows, and market corrections are interconnected macro outcomes. SIP investors had no role in driving this, nor could they have predicted it. This is simply how markets function.
In bull phases, narratives justify everything, and in corrections, they turn into conspiracy theories. The reality is far simpler. This phase is a reset with valuations cooling off, capital rotating globally, and structural gaps getting exposed.
And if history is any guide, three years from now, the narrative will likely be the exact opposite of what it is today. Markets don’t just move capital, they constantly rewrite the story around it.