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India’s private space race has officially reached orbit.On July 18, Skyroot Aerospace’s Vikram-1 became the first privat...
22/07/2026

India’s private space race has officially reached orbit.

On July 18, Skyroot Aerospace’s Vikram-1 became the first privately developed Indian rocket to successfully place payloads into orbit. It wasn’t a technology demonstration. It was a commercial orbital mission carrying customer payloads, marking a defining moment for India’s private space industry.

But, what changes after a successful first launch?

A few things stand out.

First, ex*****on risk falls dramatically. Building an orbital rocket is one thing. Demonstrating that it can reliably reach orbit is another. Skyroot has now crossed that hurdle.

Second, India’s policy reforms are beginning to translate into commercial outcomes. The sector opened to private participation in 2020, and companies like Skyroot are now proving that those reforms can create globally competitive businesses.

Third, launch vehicles are only one layer of the opportunity.

Every successful launch creates demand for:
• Satellite manufacturing
• Propulsion systems
• Advanced materials
• Electronics and avionics
• Ground stations
• Earth observation analytics
• Geospatial AI
• Space insurance
• Precision manufacturing

This is how industrial ecosystems develop.

A successful rocket increases confidence across the entire supply chain.

India’s space economy is targeting $44 billion by 2033, nearly 5x its current size. That growth will require far more than launch providers. It will need hundreds of companies building the infrastructure around them.

Skyroot’s launch is proof that India can build globally competitive launch capability through private enterprise.

The next decade will determine whether India becomes simply another launch destination, or a complete space manufacturing and technology ecosystem.

The first orbital launch suggests the latter is now a realistic possibility.

Which segment of India’s private space ecosystem do you think creates the biggest long-term opportunity: launch vehicles, satellites, downstream data services, or the suppliers building the technology stack?

The 2026 World Cup is a battle of nations and also a reflection of where football’s financial power is concentrated. The...
21/07/2026

The 2026 World Cup is a battle of nations and also a reflection of where football’s financial power is concentrated. The combined market value of the world’s 10 most valuable national teams now exceeds €9.7 billion.

A few takeaways stand out:

⚽ France led the rankings with a squad valued at €1.52 billion, narrowly ahead of England.

📈 Four national teams, France, England, Spain and Portugal, have crossed the €1 billion mark, highlighting the depth of elite talent in European football.

🌍 Europe dominates the list, occupying seven of the top ten spots. Brazil and Argentina remain the strongest representatives from South America, while Norway’s rise reflects the growing value of its new generation of stars.

Top 10 Most Valuable National Teams

🥇 France: €1.52B
🥈 England: €1.36B
🥉 Spain: €1.22B
4️⃣ Portugal: €1.01B
5️⃣ Germany: €947M
6️⃣ Brazil: €928.2M
7️⃣ Argentina: €807.5M
8️⃣ Netherlands: €754.2M
9️⃣ Norway: €589.9M
🔟 Belgium: €547.5M

AI infrastructure is becoming a resource problem.The conversation around data centres usually starts with chips, GPUs an...
14/07/2026

AI infrastructure is becoming a resource problem.

The conversation around data centres usually starts with chips, GPUs and compute capacity. But as AI workloads scale, the physical constraints around them are becoming just as important.

One of those constraints is water.

Modern data centres generate enormous amounts of heat. Cooling that infrastructure requires a continuous supply of water or other advanced cooling systems. At the same time, data-centre capacity in India is expanding rapidly, driven by cloud adoption, digital services and AI.

That creates a simple question: where will all this water come from?

For coastal facilities, desalination offers one possible answer.

Reverse osmosis has made large-scale desalination significantly more energy-efficient than older thermal methods. But desalination is still capital-intensive, and electricity remains one of its largest operating costs.

This is where the structure of companies like Reliance becomes interesting. A group that can combine: renewable power, coastal infrastructure, desalination capacity, industrial land and large-scale data centres, has more control over two of the most important inputs in AI infrastructure: energy and water.

The strategic advantage is cheaper electricity and the ability to design the entire system together.

As AI infrastructure expands, some of the biggest opportunities may emerge outside the obvious semiconductor and software names.

Water treatment, membranes, pumps, cooling systems, power infrastructure and renewable generation could all become part of the same investment cycle.

The AI race may ultimately be decided by more than who has access to the best chips.

It may also depend on who can secure the power, water and physical infrastructure required to keep those chips running.

What other overlooked infrastructure bottlenecks do you think AI will create?

[Reliance, Mukesh Ambani, Water, AI, AI Infrastructure, Wright Research]

India’s ethanol story is bigger than a fuel-blending target.At the centre of it is E20 petrol blended with 20% ethanol w...
13/07/2026

India’s ethanol story is bigger than a fuel-blending target.

At the centre of it is E20 petrol blended with 20% ethanol which aims to reduce oil imports, cut emissions and create a larger domestic market for ethanol producers.

For investors, the opportunity spans multiple parts of the value chain:

1. Distilleries could benefit from higher demand and better capacity utilisation.
Sugar companies may gain an additional revenue stream.

2. Farmers could see stronger demand for feedstocks such as sugarcane, maize and damaged food grains.

3. Engineering companies supplying distillery and processing equipment may also benefit from fresh capacity expansion.

But the theme is not without risks.

Ethanol production can increase pressure on water resources, particularly when water-intensive crops are used. Ethanol also has lower energy density than petrol, which can affect mileage. And diverting crops toward fuel production may raise concerns around food inflation.

That makes ethanol a compelling structural theme, but not a simple “buy everything” opportunity.

The real investment question is not whether ethanol demand will grow. It is which companies can convert that demand into sustainable earnings without being hurt by feedstock costs, regulation, ex*****on issues or weak capital allocation.

Policy creates the opportunity. Business quality determines the returns.

Asia’s AI adoption story is highly uneven.The UAE now leads the world, with 70.1% of its working-age population using ge...
01/07/2026

Asia’s AI adoption story is highly uneven.

The UAE now leads the world, with 70.1% of its working-age population using generative AI at least once a month. Singapore follows at 63.4%.

India stands at 17.6%, ranking 16th in Asia and 63rd globally.

That puts India close to the global adoption rate of 17.8%, but significantly behind the leading Asian markets. Microsoft’s data also shows that adoption in the Global North reached 27.5%, compared with 15.4% in the Global South. Infrastructure, connectivity, digital skills and access remain important constraints.

Three observations stand out:

1. Asia does not have a single AI adoption curve.
The Gulf, Singapore and South Korea are already seeing broad-based usage. Several large Asian economies are still in the earlier stages of diffusion.
2. India’s opportunity lies in scale.
A 17.6% adoption rate across India’s working-age population already represents a large user base. Even a small increase in pe*******on can add tens of millions of users.
3. Consumer adoption and workplace adoption can tell different stories.
Separate workforce surveys have reported much higher usage among Indian employees. This is not necessarily contradictory. Microsoft’s measure covers the entire working-age population and is estimated using Microsoft telemetry, while workplace surveys focus only on employed respondents and use different usage thresholds.

The next stage will depend less on access to AI tools and more on whether businesses can integrate them into real workflows.

For India, the priorities are clear: affordable access, local-language interfaces, workforce training and enterprise deployment.

The countries that convert AI usage into productivity gains, better services and stronger business outcomes will capture the larger economic advantage.

Kunal Shah is leaving CRED to lead WhatsApp globally. It is one of the most interesting leadership moves in Indian start...
23/06/2026

Kunal Shah is leaving CRED to lead WhatsApp globally. It is one of the most interesting leadership moves in Indian startup history.

- FreeCharge was his first big bet: mobile-first India.
- CRED was his second: affluent, creditworthy India.

WhatsApp may now become his third and biggest bet: commerce, payments, identity, businesses and AI, all sitting on top of the world’s most-used messaging network.

Kunal has repeatedly built around consumer behaviour before the market fully understood it.

- FreeCharge rode the mobile recharge and wallet wave.
- CRED turned credit card bill payments into a status-led, rewards-driven network.
- WhatsApp is already where billions of people talk, transact, discover businesses and build trust every day.

Now Meta is bringing in someone who understands incentives, trust, payments, community and consumer psychology at a very deep level.

At CRED, the transition is equally important.

Meta’s $900M investment gives CRED fresh capital, while Kunal steps away from the CEO role and Miten Sampat takes over as interim CEO. The bigger test for CRED now is whether it can evolve from a founder-led brand into an institution-led company.

A founder who built two category-defining consumer fintech companies in India is now being asked to shape the next chapter of WhatsApp globally.

The biggest opportunities are rarely in what users are doing today. They are in where behaviour is quietly moving next. And Kunal Shah has made a career out of spotting that shift early.

22/06/2026

If the US stock market is in a bubble, why are investors still buying?

Because bubbles don’t end when valuations get expensive. They end when investors stop believing the future will be even better than expected.

Consider this:

SpaceX is now valued in the same ballpark as Amazon. Amazon generates hundreds of billions of dollars in annual revenue. SpaceX generates a fraction of that.

At first glance, that sounds irrational. But markets don’t value companies based on what they are today. They value them based on what investors believe they can become. That’s exactly why today’s market debate is so fascinating.

The Shiller CAPE ratio, a measure that compares stock prices to inflation-adjusted earnings over the last decade, is hovering around 40-42x. That’s the second-highest level in modern market history. The only period that exceeded it was the peak of the dot-com bubble in 1999.

Historically, valuations this high have been followed by lower long-term returns. Not necessarily crashes. Just lower future returns than investors have become accustomed to.

But there’s an important difference between 1999 and today. Most of the market leaders today are extraordinarily profitable. Back then, many companies had little revenue and no profits.

Today, companies building AI infrastructure, cloud computing, advanced semiconductors, and space technology are generating real cash flows and dominating global markets. The real question is whether current prices already assume a future that’s too optimistic.

History suggests that when everyone agrees the future will be amazing, the upside becomes harder to find.

That’s the paradox of investing:

A great company doesn’t always make a great investment. Sometimes the business is right. The narrative is right. The technology is right.

But the price is wrong.

The most dangerous words in markets have never been “this company is terrible.” They’ve always been: “This time is different.”

Bangalore! We are in town and would love to meet all of you! Fill out this form to meet us Sonam Srivastava and the team...
16/06/2026

Bangalore!

We are in town and would love to meet all of you!

Fill out this form to meet us Sonam Srivastava and the team this Sunday at 11AM: https://forms.gle/PSzJiZ82a1GtLozK6

11/06/2026

AI’s Next Big Trade Isn’t Software, It’s Infrastructure

Everyone talks about AI models and apps. But the real opportunity may be hiding in the physical stack behind AI: power, transformers, transmission, cooling, cabling, and data centre infrastructure.

As AI demand grows, India’s electricity grid will need massive expansion and modernization, potentially creating a multi-year super cycle for select industrial companies.

The global wealth map is being redrawn.According to Knight Frank's Wealth Report 2026, the number of ultra-high-net-wort...
09/06/2026

The global wealth map is being redrawn.

According to Knight Frank's Wealth Report 2026, the number of ultra-high-net-worth individuals (UHNWIs) grew from 551,435 in 2021 to 713,626 in 2026. That's more than 162,000 new ultra-rich individuals added in just five years.

A few things stand out from the data:

📈 The United States remains the undisputed engine of wealth creation, adding nearly 67,000 UHNWIs over the period.

🇨🇳 China continues to scale, adding more than 22,000 ultra-rich individuals despite a challenging macroeconomic environment.

🇮🇳 India may be the most interesting story of all.

While India ranks #4 globally in absolute growth of UHNWIs, its ultra-rich population has expanded by 63% in just five years, making it one of the fastest-growing major wealth markets in the world. India is now the world's 6th largest UHNWI market and is projected to continue growing strongly through 2031.

Historically, wealth was concentrated around industrial production, natural resources, and financial centers.

Today's wealth creation is increasingly driven by:
• Technology platforms
• Artificial intelligence
• Private markets
• Founder-led businesses
• Global capital flows
• Digital infrastructure

For India, the implications are significant:
➡️ More startup founders becoming wealth creators
➡️ Larger domestic investment pools
➡️ Increased demand for premium real estate, wealth management, and alternative assets
➡️ Greater influence in global capital markets

We're already seeing second-order effects. India's billionaire population has grown sharply and is expected to continue expanding over the next decade, while luxury housing, private capital, and wealth-management industries are scaling alongside it.

And based on the data, India is positioning itself to be one of the biggest beneficiaries of that shift.

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