18/06/2026
Most people will see todayâs Bank of England announcement and assume nothing has changed.
On the surface, theyâre right.
The Base Rate remains at 3.75%.
But hereâs the bit most homeowners miss:
Fixed mortgage rates donât directly follow the Bank of England Base Rate.
They follow swap rates.
In simple terms, swap rates are the marketâs view of where interest rates are heading next.
Thatâs why mortgage rates can sometimes fall when the Base Rate stays the same.
And why they can occasionally rise even when the Base Rate is cut.
Itâs also why trying to âtime the marketâ is so difficult.
Nobody knows exactly where rates will be in six monthsâ time.
Not the banks.
Not the economists.
Not the mortgage brokers.
The people who tend to get the best outcomes arenât the ones trying to predict the future.
Theyâre the ones who understand their options and are ready to act when the right opportunity appears.
If youâre buying, remortgaging, or your fixed rate is ending soon, itâs worth understanding what todayâs announcement actually means for you.
Because the headline rarely tells the full story.
No pressure.
Just a conversation.