04/23/2026
Cash flow is the baseline.
Many real estate investments rely on appreciation to make the numbers work. That can work in strong environments.
It becomes a problem when conditions change.
If a deal depends on everything going right, the risk is already built in. It just has not surfaced yet.
With rising costs and tighter margins, that risk shows up quickly.
We view real estate as an operating business first.
If the business does not perform today, the long-term outcome becomes less predictable.
The focus is not what it might be worth down the road.
It is whether it works in the current environment.