03/07/2026
I am tired of these headlines which make most people think that it applies to the whole of Australia. THEY DO NOT! At least they do admit the following though:
"Melbourne most exposed, Perth and Brisbane still climbing
The pain is uneven. Melbourne, expected to fall 4% to 8%, sits closest to its previous trough and would need only a 6% drop to get there, making it the most exposed capital. Sydney, predicted to fall 3% to 7%, would need a much steeper 19.7% fall to revisit its 2022 low.
By contrast, Perth and Brisbane aren't in a downturn at all — both are set to extend their growth run through the new financial year, on the back of population growth, tight rental markets, and persistent supply shortfalls."
Three decades of data suggest today's price falls are shallow, short-lived, and about to reverse