05/06/2026
**Market Update**
Is the Australian property market losing momentum?
Recent data suggests the market is entering a softer phase after several years of strong growth.
🏠 National home prices were flat in May, with Sydney and Melbourne continuing to decline from recent peaks.
📉 AMP now expects Australian property prices to fall around 1% this year and a further 5% across 2026-27.
💰 Higher interest rates, stretched affordability, weaker buyer confidence and reduced tax incentives for investors are all weighing on demand.
🏘️ Not all property types will perform the same. Units and more affordable homes may prove more resilient due to strong first-home buyer activity and the expanded 5% deposit scheme.
📈 Rental markets remain tight, with rents rising almost 6% over the past year as vacancy rates stay near record lows.
⚖️ The biggest battle remains supply versus demand. Australia is still estimated to be short between 200,000 and 300,000 homes, which should help limit the extent of any price declines.
🔍 The bigger question is whether the 30-year property boom is entering a new phase. Rising interest rates, lower migration forecasts and changes to investor tax concessions could mean some of the major drivers of past growth are fading.
What does this mean for buyers and investors?
Property markets don’t move in straight lines. While some areas may experience price falls, opportunities often emerge when confidence is low and competition reduces. Understanding local markets, cash flow and long-term strategy will be more important than ever.
To find out more, DM or contact me on:
☎ – 0401 729 575
💻 – [email protected]
🖱️ – circlefg.com.au
Credit Representative 550632 is authorised under Australian Credit Licence 389328. Your full financial situation, needs and requirements need to be assessed prior to any offer or acceptance of a loan product.